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Jimmy Boyd is one of the most consistent handicappers in the business across football, basketball, and baseball. Boyd’s situational and matchup analysis is second to none and he delivers his thoughts daily in his detailed game reports. This analysis enables his clients to know why he likes the team he is backing.
Boyd is a former collegiate golfer and University of Iowa Law grad that ensures you success in every sport he covers. Jimmy's quality sports selections with game-breaking analysis make him a major force in the handicapping industry for years to come. Here are a few of his top plays:
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All of Jimmy’s picks get monitored around the web. Jimmy is one of the very few handicappers that have actually earned the stripes to be regarded as a top Industry player. There are not many handicappers in the industry that can match his long term success rates. Take a look at some of his prior accomplishments:
Jimmy has been so successful because he does not rely on an out-of-the-box handicapping system. There is no magic system that wins consistently. It takes hard work reviewing each matchup from many different angles. Jimmy looks at the psychology of human nature coming into a game, as well as trends and systems that have a proven history of success. He is always on top of the matchup advantages between teams and he utilizes that knowledge to deliver consistent ATS winners over the long term. He invites you to find out for yourself. Climb on board now and start building your bankroll exclusively with Jimmy Boyd!
This former collegiate golfer and University of Iowa Law grad will ensure you success in every sport he covers. Jimmy's quality sports selections with game-breaking analysis make him a major force in the handicapping industry for years to come.
Jimmy is one of the very few handicappers that has actually earned the stripes to be regarded as a top Industry player. He invites you to find out for yourself.
Climb on board NOW and start building your bankroll exclusively with Jimmy Boyd!
Friday, November 21, 2014
Clemson vs. Gardner Webb (NCAAB) - 1:30 PM EST
Pick: Point Spread: 7.0/-110 Gardner Webb Pick Title: 3* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Gardner-Webb +
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Clemson shouldn't be laying this big of a number against a quality opponent like Gardner-Webb. While the Tigers have 4 starters back from last year, they lost their star in K.J. McDaniels, who averaged 17.1 points and 7.1 rebounds per game, while also earned ACC Defensive Player of the year. Clemson simply doesn't have anyone to replace his productivity and that was evident in their last game, which they lost 74-77 to Winthrop (wasn't even a line available on that game). Garner-Webb showed they can hang with the big boys in a competitive loss at LSU in their opener and bounced back with a 80-67 win over a College of Charleston, who just gave UConn a run last night. I look for this one to go right down to the wire and wouldn't be shocked if the Bulldogs won this one outright.
Gardner-Webb is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 after covering last time out, 11-2 ATS in their last 13 off a SU win and 8-1 in their last 9 non-conference games. These trends combine to form a 82% (32-7) system in favor of the Bulldogs. Take Garner-Webb!
Seton Hall vs. Nevada (NCAAB) - 4:00 PM EST
Pick: Point Spread: -7.0/-102 Seton Hall Pick Title: 3* NCAAB Blockbuster ATS Blowout on Seton Hall -
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Seton Hall should have no problem covering this single-digit spread against the Wolf Pack. While the Pirates lost 3 starters from last year, I believe this year's team is better than the one that finished 17-17. They get back an experienced point guard in junior Sterling Gibbs and are expecting big things out of McDonald's All-American shooting guard Isaiah Whitehead. The big key here is that Nevada is in a major rebuilding phase and simply don't have the offensive fire-power to compete with a team like Seton Hall. The Wolf Pack lost their star in Deonte Burton (20.1 ppg), along with their next two top scorers in Cole Huff (12.4 ppg) and Jerry Evans Jr. (12.3 ppg). Combined that's 44.8 points they have to replace, which is over half of the 72.4 ppg they averaged in 2013-14.
Seton Hall is 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games after playing their last game at home and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games after playing their last game as a favorite. These trends combine to form a 83% (20-4) system in favor of the Pirates. Take Seton Hall!
Iona vs. Wake Forest (NCAAB) - 8:30 PM EST
Pick: Point Spread: -3.5/-110 Wake Forest Pick Title: 3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Rout on Wake Forest -
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The Demon Deacons were destroyed in their last game, losing by 30-points at Arkansas on Wednesday. I believe that has created some exceptional value on the Demon Deacons in their home matchup against Iona. Prior to that loss Wake Forest had a couple of impressive wins over UNC-Asheville (80-69) and Tulane (71-49). Iona on the other hand was just lost at Wofford by 13-points in their last contest. Wake Forest has won 15 of their last 19 home games, which is a big reason why I'm not reading too much into that ugly road loss to Arkansas. I have a lot of confidence in 2nd-year head coach Danny Manning and his ability to get this program back on track. Either way, the Demon Deacons are greatly undervalued in this one and should win here comfortably.
Wake Forest is 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a SU loss by more than 20 points, while the Gaels are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. These two trends combine to form a 76% (26-8) system in favor of the Demon Deacons. Take Wake Forest!
Air Force vs. San Diego State (NCAAF) - 9:30 PM EST
Pick: Total: 51.0/-110 Under Pick Title: 4* Mountain West Conference Total of the Month on San Diego St/Air Force UNDER
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The books have set the total too high in Friday's Mountain West matchup between Air Force and San Diego State. These two teams have a history of scoring less than the mark the books set. In the last 17 meetings, 11 have finished below the total, including 5 of the last 6. I'm expecting the trend to continue as both of these teams come in playing extremely well on the defensive side of the ball.
Air Force comes in ranked 47th in total defense (378.2 ypg) and the strength of their stop unit is their run defense, which ranks 37th, allowing 140.2 ypg. That's important to note because the Aztecs offensively almost exclusively rely on the run. San Diego State ranks 34th in rushing (205.4 ypg), compared to just 107th in passing (181.8 ypg).
San Diego State has even better overall numbers defensively. The Aztecs are 30th in total defense, giving up just 349.1 ypg. While they are giving up more rushing yards than passing yards, they a lot of that has to do with the teams they have played. They are giving up just 151 rushing yards/game against teams averaging 171 ypg and allowing only 3.8 yards/carry versus teams averaging 4.3 ypc.
The other big key to this game finishing below the mark is that both of these teams are one-dimensional offensively with the running game. Even if it doesn't work, both are going to keep pounding the rock. That's a perfect scenario for a low scoring game, as it should lead to a lot of empty possessions that eat up a lot clock.
The UNDER is 20-7 in San Diego State's last 27 games against poor passing teams who are averaging 150 or less yards/game through air, 13-4 in their last 17 off a win and 9-1 in their last 10 overall. These trends combine to form a 78% (42-12) system. Take the UNDER!
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Toronto Raptors (NBA) - 7:35 PM EST
Pick: Point Spread: 9.0/-110 Milwaukee Bucks Pick Title: 5* NBA Vegas Insider Game of the Year on Bucks +
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Milwaukee is showing tremendous value as a 9-point dog against the Raptors this season. Despite the fact that the Bucks are 9-3 ATS this season, they are still being undervalued based on how bad they have been in years past. Milwaukee hasn't just been covering of late, they have been winning games outright. The Bucks have won 5 of their last 6, three of which had them listed as the underdog. They have just two losses all season by more than 9-points.
Not only am I big on Milwaukee right now, but this is a perfect scenario to fade the Raptors. Toronto is certainly feeling good about themselves after their 9-2 start to the season, which is going to make it easy for them to look past this contest to tomorrow's huge showdown against the Cavaliers, who everyone has circled on their calendar early. This is a similar spot to when the Raptors hosted the Magic prior to a big game against the Bulls on TNT. Toronto was fortunate to leave with a 104-100 win against Orlando, as they trailed by double-digits in the 4th quarter.
The Raptors are just 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 home games against a team with a losing road record and we find a great system in play on the Bucks. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are a good defensive team (holding opponents to 41.5%-43.5% shooting) against a poor defensive team (45.5%-47.5%) are 39-12 ATS over the last 5 seasons. That's a 77% system in favor of the Bucks. Take Milwaukee!
UTEP vs. Rice (NCAAF) - 8:00 PM EST
Pick: Point Spread: 7.0/-112 UTEP Pick Title: Free Pick on UTEP +
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I believe the Owls are getting too much respect from the books in this one. While Rice lost 14-41 at Marshall last week, that loss isn’t going to have a big negative impact on how the public views this team, as the Thundering Herd have been beating teams like that all season.
Instead they are going to look at the fact that prior to that loss the Owls had won 6-straight and assume they will pickup where they left off. However, I don’t feel that will be the case at all. Rice’s 6-game winning streak came against a bunch of bad teams. Not a single one game against a team who currently has a winning record. In fact, their best win during that stretch was against FIU, who is sitting at 4-7.
I would much rather taking my chances on UTEP catching 7.5-points, as I think there’s a great possibility that they win this game outright. There’s just not a lot that separates these teams. Each has played Old Dominion, UTSA, Southern Miss and North Texas. The Miners went 4-0 in those 4 games, while Rice went 3-1.
Offensively both were about the same. UTEP averaged 36.5 ppg, while the Owls averaged 35.3. The big difference was on the defensive side of the ball. The Miners held those 4 teams to an average of 16.5 points and 257.5 yards per game, while Rice gave up 24.0 and 331.5 ypg. To me this is a clear sign that this line should be a lot closer to a field goal than a touchdown.
You might think that UTEP would be the team that would have the inflated line, as they have the better ATS record at 8-2, compared to Rice’s 7-3 mark. However, that’s not the case. Rice is the more recognized team, as they are the defending C-USA Champs, while UTEP had won a combined 5 games over the previous 2 years.
There’s a strong system in play. Road teams who have covered the spread in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games and have a winning record on the season are 85-46 ATS over the last 5 seasons. That's a 65% system in favor of the Miners. Take UTEP!
Boyd's 5* NCAAF No Limit Game of the Year
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NFC North Champion: Green Bay Packers – Many forget the Super Bowl champion Packers didn’t win the NFC North division last season. They should knock that one off the list this year. Green Bay defeated the NFC North champion Chicago Bears in the NFC title game. One thing was evident in that game. The Packers had Aaron Rodgers and the Bears didn’t. That simple fact alone gives the Pack the edge in t ... read more
The Pittsburgh Steelers head to LP Field Sunday for a Week 2 showdown with the Tennessee Titans. The Steelers passed their first test without Ben Roethlisberger, earning a hard fought overtime win over the Atlanta Falcons, but NFL odds makers have them coming up short Sunday. The Titans are coming off an impressive 38-13 win over the Oakland Raiders, and they have been listed as a 5.5-point fav ... read more
Miami Dolphins vs. Denver Broncos (NFL) - Nov 23, 2014 4:25 PM EST
Play: Point Spread: -7.0/105 Denver Broncos Play Title: NFL Free Pick on Denver Broncos -
It’s hard to not like the Broncos at home coming laying just a touchdown, especially off that embarrassing loss to the Rams. Denver is a perfect 5-0 at home this season with all 5 wins coming by at least a touchdown. Adding to this is the fact that all 19 of the Broncos wins at home (19-2) since they acquired Peyton Manning have come by at least 7 points.
Denver has followed up each of their two previous losses this season with blowout wins. They knocked off the Cardinals 41-20 after losing to Seattle and destroyed the Raiders by a near identical score 41-17 after losing to the Patriots. Adding to this is that with Manning the Broncos have followed up each of their last 7 regular season losses with a win the next week by at least 7 points.
The only real concern with Denver in this game is that Julius Thomas is listed as questionable. If Thomas wasn't able to play, it would definitely be a big blow to the Broncos, but they have a number of quality receivers. As long as Manning is on top of his game and you have to expect he will be after last week, Denver’s offense is going to be able to move the football and put up points.
Another thing to take into consideration with this matchup is that Miami hasn’t been nearly as impressive on the road as they have at home. While the Dolphins have a 3-2 road record, two of their wins came against two of the worst teams in the league in Jacksonville and Oakland and the other was against the Bears, who have not played well at home. They lost 10-29 at Buffalo in Week 2 and most recently at Detroit 16-20.
Miami has played extremely well defensively and come in with the 2nd ranked pass defense (208.0 ypg), but Denver is 16-4 ATS in their last 20 home games against teams who are allowing 5.7 or less passing yards/attempt and have won these games by an average score of 26.2 to 17.4. The Broncos also 13-4 ATS in their last 17 after playing their last game on the road and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games when listed as a home favorite of 7-points or less. Take Denver!