Sunday, February 02, 2014 Seattle Seahawks vs. Denver Broncos (NFL) - 6:30 PM EST Premium Pick Pick: Money Line: 120 Seattle Seahawks Pick Title: Rare Super Bowl 10 STAR Win Click Here to View Pick Analysis For only the 2nd time in the last 20 years has the top 2 seeds made it all the way to the Super Bowl. John Q. Public really wants the scenario of Peyton Manning winning it all and riding off in the sunset of retirement. I'm extra psyched up about this year more than usual because I feel there are some unique findings all pointing to the same side in this one. In 47 tries, no quarterback has EVER won a Super Bowl with 2 different teams. Denver set an NFL record scoring 606 points in the regular season, averaging 37.9 PPG & 457 YPG. Those who cared to dive into the record books would have found that the last 5 teams that broke single-season scoring records went a perfect 0-5 SU in the grand finale. After further sports database crunchings, the past 7 times a team played 2 games in a row at home and then was installed as Super bowl favorites, that team has gone a perfect 0-7 ATS. For my pick here, people ask why the ML? The answer is plainly because the pointspread has only come into play 13% of the time with just 6 times in 47 chances. Let's get down in the trenches now. Denver is a great offense but has not ran into this type of physicality this season since the Broncos faced NOBODY in the top 6 in total defense all year. In contrast, Seattle faced EIGHT teams in the top 6 in total defense & 7 teams that won at least 10 games! On the flip side, the Orange & Blue have really inflated passing statistics since they've faced 9 teams who ranked in the bottom 8 in yards per play defense. Denver receivers Demariyus Thomas, Julius Thomas, Eric Decker & Wes Welker must now face a Seattle defense that is both the NFL's best scoring defense & yards per play defense. This unit makes things happen. They are forcing a league-best 2.4 turnovers per game with a very strong TO ratio of +20! Seattle has allowed just 14.4 PPG this season. They have 8 of out of 10 best skill position players in this matchup. LCB Richard Sherman is stellar along with 2 speedsters at safety with Earl Thomas & Kam Chancellor. Having LB K.J. Wright only solidifies their physicality . DC Dan Quinn has some pretty strong blueprints laid by mediocre San Diego (held Denver to 22 PPG) who had a fierce pass rush. Add to that an effective ground game by Seattle led by RB Marshawn Lynch to keep Manning on the sidelines and that is just how the Chargers got their "W" over Denver earlier. Taking these teams to the road, we find the Broncos were 5-3 ATS while Seattle going a solid 6-2 SU & ATS this season. Yes, Seattle can play well away from CenturyLink Field. One other big stat you can't overlook is Seattle's BIG GAME success. The Hawks' have gone an amazing 16-3-1 ATS their last 20 versus winning teams - good to the tune of 84%! To boot, Seattle has also covered an unheard of 74% of their last 32 games. My bottom line says the weather (which could be windy and/or snowy) favors Seattle for both scenarios. I feel Seattle QB Russell Wilson is poised and mature for his 2nd season. He's compiled an amazing 24-8 regular season record since graduating from Wisconsin. I like his chances here since Denver is missing their best pass rusher in Von Miller & their best DB in Chris Harris. having WR Percy Harvin back only enhances Wilson's effectiveness in hitting other wideouts. The underdog trend in the Super Bowl has seen the pups cash 5 out of the last 6. I'm ready to cash fellas! Let's go to the New Meadowlands Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ for the first cold-weather Super Bowl to throw all the pasta on the Seattle Seahawks on the ML as my Rare Super Bowl 10 STAR! Seahawks will win by 3-7 points.
 

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