San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks (NFL) 6:30 PM EST Seattle Seahawks Premium Pick Sportsbook.com Play Title: Nfc Championship Play Selected: Money Line: -170 Click to View Analysis Analysis: After seeing how fortunate the 49ers were the past 2 weeks, I'm surely not drinking either Harbaugh or SF Kool Aid here. SF QB Colin Kaepernick has turned it over 6 times versus this defense in 3 games and the 49ers have been out-scored 71-19 in Seattle the last 2! I feel Vegas has took away a little value with Seattle being favored by over 3. However, I'm taking it back! I'm a HC Pete Carroll and QB Russell Wilson (1 career home loss in 2 years) believer. This well-rested bunch took their foot off the gas last week but won't do that again with the Super Bowl 2 long weeks ahead. In the numbers, let me lay on you a "open your eyes wide" stat of the round. In the past 30 years, teams playing their 4th straight road game and in the playoffs are 0-3 SU & ATS. Are you with me so far? Now, those 3 same teams have lost by a collective score of 84-20! So do I predict a blowout? No, but I do predict a strong possibility of a 10-point Seattle win. The Seattle defense is meaner and more athletic than anything the 49ers can dish out. Who else has a defense that registered 28 INT's? The answer ---- Nobody! My bottom line says both teams have good running games. With both defenses ready and able to take that strength away, the passing game will be spotlighted. So I'm looking for Russell Wilson to find Percy Harvin (back in the lineup now) downfield for some game-clinching catches and a Seattle win. This spread is operating on the hook so my play is all over the ML on Seattle because that is way to go. No backdoor covers here with a ML bet as we're throwing the whole play to rest on a Seahawks victory @ CenturyLink Field in Seattle.
 

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