Houston, is a team that’s given Jacksonville fits over the years with the Texans going 15-3 outright in its last 18 games against Jacksonville, including 5-1 SUATS as a dog in this series since 2018. Additionally, while Houston is 0-2 SUATS this season, they are 2-0 ITS (In The Stats). Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence has yet to cash an NFL ticket as a home favorite, going 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS. To cap it off, Jacksonville is 2-13 SU and 1-14 ATS as a favorite if the Jags were a dog in their last game.

Wacha has held nearly all of his opponents to three or fewer runs and has been especially impressive at Petco. He's facing a Cardinals club hitting .230 BA/.314 OBP/.372 SLG/.686 OPS in September and is missing a few of its best sluggers. I'm predicting a quality start from Wacha today. The Padres have been playing more freely recently, and I don't expect that to change in the series finale. They are facing a rookie hurler with very minimal game experience and have hit left-handers pretty well (.268/.342/.462/.805) in 2023.

The Marlins are still very much in must-win mode while the Brewers NL Central Division title is inevitable. Needing just one win or one Cubs loss, the Brewers' urgency is not nearly as desperate as the Marlins. The Marlins will turn to Cabrera on Sunday at home. Home is the operative word here as Cabrera comes into this matchup with a perfect 6-0 record at home this season and an ERA of just 2.49. He faces a Brewers team that is just 16th in baseball in strikeouts per game while sporting a K/9 rate of over ten himself. I expect a high number of swings and misses from the Brewers in this game. Peralta also has a very impressive K/9 rate but takes on a Marlins team that is fifth in fewest strikeouts per game offensively.

NFL Play of the Day

After blowing last week’s 21-14 lead after two quarters, Denver has now lost an NFL record nine straight games where it has had the lead at halftime. Even with first-year NFL coaches just 1-9 this season, the value is all with Denver in this matchup. You can count on one thing in this game: Sean Payton is pissed, and somebody will pay the price. He is also 23-7-2 ATS in his NFL career against foes coming off a win. Finally, NFL Game Three underdogs coming off a pair of SU favorite losses are 16-2-1 ATS since 2003, including 9-0 ATS versus foes with a winning record.

The Mariners have won three of their last four road games. They are playing well offensively and scored 18 runs in their last three games. Expect them to play well offensively in this game because Eovaldi has been shaky on the mound in recent home starts, giving up seven runs in his last three home starts. He gave up seven runs in his last two home starts against the Mariners, and with Texas having the sixth-worst bullpen in the league, they will have a hard time slowing down the Mariners in this game. The Rangers have won three of their last four games. They are also playing well offensively and scored 29 runs in their last three games. But, they will struggle offensively in this game because Woo has been brilliant on the mound in recent starts and didn’t give up a run in three of his last four starts. He gave up six runs in his last three road starts, and with Seattle having the fourth-best bullpen in the league, they will keep Texas’ offense in check.

Baltimore looks to improve to 3-0 on the season, something they haven’t done since 2016. They are 8-1 ATS after division road games and 5-1 ATS when both teams are coming off a division contest. The Colts are 1-7 ATS in their last games against the AFC North and 2-7 ATS in games when both teams were taking points last week.

The Patriots are 0-2 for the first time since 2001. They went on to go 14-3 thereafter, riding a season-ending 9-0 win skein to capture the Super Bowl. But that was all with Tom Brady, not Mac Jones. One of the Pats’ weaknesses has been the lack of a ground game, and that doesn’t work in the NFL. The 6 NFL teams failing to average more than 82 Rushing Yards Per Game this season are struggling, going 2-10 SU and 3-9 ATS through the first two games of the season. However, New England had a 5-0 ATS series record against the Jets, and a 6-1 ATS mark in games in which both teams are coming off SUATS losses. Bill Belichick is 18-3 SU and 14-7 of late in games when coming off successive losses.

Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS their last six meetings. Jimmy Garoppolo, who stands heads and shoulders above Kenny Pickett. Jimmy G brings a 39-25-1 ATS overall career mark into this game, including 4-1 ATS against the AFC North. With the Black-and-Gold just 1-3 ATS in its last four games after Cleveland, we are going with the Raiders.