Matt Fargo
It was a 2-0 MLB Monday with winners on the +112 Cubs and +120 Yankees. Another Underdog Double Play SWEEP Tuesday! The NBA is coming off a win with the Celtics on Monday to extend 128-87-3 run. NBA Finals on deck!
With over 16 years of sports handicapping experience, my analysis, information and expert picks give you what you want.... winners! I’m not here claiming to be undefeated over the last 10 years and I’m not going to fill your head with any useless inside information, because it doesn't exist. I do my homework plain and simple and come up with the plays that give us the best chance of winning. When you win, we win. You will see that our angles, statistical analysis and handicapping approaches will make you a consistent winner. One of the most drawn on adages in sports handicapping is that it’s not a sprint, it’s a marathon. I cannot agree more. Consistency over the long haul is what every sports bettor should be interested in and that is what I provide. When the winning days outnumber the losing days by a large margin, I must be doing something right. Keep three things in mind when looking for sports service - Consistency, Honesty, and Integrity. You've found all three right here!
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Monday, May 29, 2023
Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics (NBA) - 8:30 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +7/-110 Miami Heat Rating: 10*
Win
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This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Boston barely survived Game Six as it won on a last second tip in to force a Game Seven and while it seems the Celtics have the big advantage, that might not be the case in this game as the biggest intangible that is not in their favor is coaching. That was even evident at the end of Game Six as the inbound play that the Celtics ran was horrible but they got away with it. One thing that Miami can take solace in from Game Six is that they nearly won despite their two biggest players, Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo, going a combined 9-37 (24.3 percent) from the floor and it is highly unlikely that both have back-to-back poor games. Admittedly, the pressure has clearly shifted from being on Boston and going over to Miami as it was ready to become just the second No. 8 seed to make the NBA Finals and is now in the position of being the first team ever to blow a 3-0 series lead. There have been only 36 Game Seven road winners in the NBA playoffs but it has happened 15 times in the past 12 seasons so Miami winning this game outright is far from out of the question. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 off a road win by three points or less, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 68-32 ATS (68 percent) since 1996. 10* (509) Miami Heat
Atlanta Braves vs. Oakland Athletics (MLB) - 8:07 PM EDT
This is a play on the OAKLAND ATHLETICS for our Monday Free Play. We are taking the big dog here as Oakland is riding an 11-game losing streak but could be in a favorable spot with the unknowns of both starting pitchers. The Athletics have fallen to a horrid 10-45 on the season as they have failed to score more than three runs during this current losing skid. The Braves are coming off a series split against the Phillies to conclude a very average 5-5 homestand and they hit the road where they are 17-7 and as no surprise, massive favorites. Oakland squares off against Mike Soroka who is making his first big league appearance since 2020 after going through several Achillies injuries. He posted a 4.33 ERA in eight starts at AAA and will not be asked to do much here. The Athletics counter with Paul Blackburn who is making his first appearance this season after suffering through blister issues as well as a stint on paternity leave. The 2022 All Star was solid in his recent rehab start. Here, we play on home underdogs with a money line of +175 or more averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game on the season, after five straight games where they had less than 10 hits. This situation is 30-22 (57.7 percent) over the last five seasons. Play (972) Oakland Athletics
The NBA is coming off a loss with the Celtics on Saturday night and the NBA is back with our recent 45-31-2 run. Going back, Fargo is on a 127-87-3 run and keeps it going with his NBA Signature Enforcer which WINS WITH EASE. It was a 2-0 baseball Sunday with winners on +120 Cleveland and +115 Milwaukee, part of a +$2,350 overall day, and it is now a 9-4 +$7,650 baseball run since last Monday! Matt is poised for a massive Monday with an MLB Underdog Double Play as he goes for another PERFECT 2-0 SWEEP!
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners (MLB) - 9:40 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: 130 New York Yankees Rating: 10*
Win
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This is a play on the NEW YORK YANKEES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Yankees are regaining their health and with that has come a solid run as they are coming off a series win over San Diego and they have won nine of their last 13 games despite a three-game losing streak being thrown in the mix. Seattle won its weekend series against Pittsburgh following a four-game sweep over Oakland and the 6-1 run has put the Mariners back over .500 and are now 5.5 games behind Texas in the American League West. Domingo German got hit hard in Minnesota to end April where he allowed six runs including three home runs in six innings but he has been great since then, posting a 1.64 ERA. This is his first start since his 10-game suspension. Bryce Miller has been outstanding since the top prospect was recalled from the minors as he has a 1.15 ERA through his first five starts which is the reason the Mariners are significant favorites here. Here, we play on road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 after five straight games where they stranded seven or less runners on base and with a starting pitcher whose ERA is less than 2.50 over his last three starts. This situation is 26-13 (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (965) New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago Cubs (MLB) - 2:20 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: 120 Chicago Cubs Rating: 10*
Win
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This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Tampa Bay is coming off a series win over the Dodgers to conclude a 7-3 homestand and it improved to 26-6 at home. The Rays have not been as good on the road as they are 13-10 where the pitching has not been nearly as strong. The Cubs were swept at home against Cincinnati over the weekend and they have now lost four straight games following a pair of wins against the Mets to open their previous series and they have now flipped from two games over .500 at home to two games under .500. Marcus Stroman is coming off another solid start where he allowed two runs on four hits over eight innings against the Mets and he has allowed two runs or less in nine of his 11 starts including five of six at home. Taj Bradley opened his career strong with four straight starts of allowing three runs or less but gave up four runs in four innings against Toronto last time out. Here, we play against American League road teams averaging 5.4 or more rpg and after a win by two runs or less going up against National League teams with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better. This situation is 29-8 (78.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (970) Chicago Cubs
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Free Sports Game Preview and Prediction: Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers Tuesday, May 30, 2023 6:40 PM Play: Money Line: 118 Detroit Tigers This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS for our Tuesday Free Play. Texas won the series opener on Monday as it shut out Detroit 5-0 to make it eight wins over its last 10 games. The Rangers continue to lead the American League West by three games over ... read more
Free Sports Game Preview and Prediction: Atlanta Braves vs. Oakland Athletics Monday, May 29, 2023 8:07 PM Play: Money Line: 215 Oakland Athletics This is a play on the OAKLAND ATHLETICS for our Monday Free Play. We are taking the big dog here as Oakland is riding an 11-game losing streak but could be in a favorable spot with the unknowns of both starting pitchers. The Athletics have fal ... read more