Matt Fargo
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With over 16 years of sports handicapping experience, my analysis, information and expert picks give you what you want.... winners! I’m not here claiming to be undefeated over the last 10 years and I’m not going to fill your head with any useless inside information, because it doesn't exist. I do my homework plain and simple and come up with the plays that give us the best chance of winning. When you win, we win. You will see that our angles, statistical analysis and handicapping approaches will make you a consistent winner. One of the most drawn on adages in sports handicapping is that it’s not a sprint, it’s a marathon. I cannot agree more. Consistency over the long haul is what every sports bettor should be interested in and that is what I provide. When the winning days outnumber the losing days by a large margin, I must be doing something right. Keep three things in mind when looking for sports service - Consistency, Honesty, and Integrity. You've found all three right here!
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Thursday, February 02, 2023
North Dakota State vs. South Dakota (NCAAB) - 8:00 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +1/-110 South Dakota Rating: 10*
Win
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This is a play on the SOUTH DAKOTA COYOTES for our CBB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. Oral Roberts has taken control of the Summit League as it leads the conference by four games but there is a big battle for second place as six teams are within two games of each other including both teams here. South Dakota is coming off a 1-2 roadtrip that concluded with a 50-point loss at Oral Roberts so this is a good bounce back situation at home while getting a great line on top of it. The Coyotes are 5-6 in the conference following a 3-1 start so they have been struggling of late and this is a big two-game homestand, where they are 6-4 on the season, against the North Dakota teams before hitting the road for three more games. North Dakota St. is now 6-4 in the conference following a 16-point win as home against rival North Dakota to conclude a 1-2 homestand which followed a five-game winning streak after a 0-2 conference start. It hits the road where it is 4-7 which includes a 3-2 record in the Summit but those three wins were against the three worst teams in the conference that are a combined 7-25. The Bison won the first meeting by 12 points which sets up a revenge payback spot for South Dakota. Great value with the home team here with the wrong team favored. 10* (788) South Dakota Coyotes
Stanford vs. Utah (NCAAB) - 8:00 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -7/-110 Utah Rating: 10*
Loss
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This is a play on the UTAH UTES for our CBB Thursday Star Attraction. Utah is coming off a split in Oregon as it defeated the Beavers but were blown out by the Ducks by 12 points Saturday night to fall to 8-4 in the conference with two losses coming against Oregon and the other two coming against UCLA and USC, a combined 15-5 in the Pac 12, both of which were on the road. Because of UCLA dropping its last two games, Utah is just a game out, both in the loss column, from the first place Bruins with a home game remaining against them still. The Utes are back home where they are 10-3 and have won all other four conference games including a big one against Arizona. Stanford has quietly won four straight games including three in the Pac 12 with a game against Chicago St. mixed in there but all of those games were at home where the Cardinal are a respectable 7-4 but they hit the road where they have had no success. This includes an upset against Oregon but the other two wins came against Oregon St. and California, a combined 5-16 in the conference. The recent run has been a surprise as Stanford entered that homestand 0-7 in the Pac 12 yet to their credit as that did include four close losses but are catching a short number despite being 0-4 on the road. 10* (792) Utah Utes
Loyola Marymount vs. BYU (NCAAB) - 9:00 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -5/-110 BYU Rating: 10*
Win
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This is a play on the BYU COUGARS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. BYU played a great game last time out as it took undefeated St. Mary's to the final possession losing by just one point which was its third straight loss to fall to 4-5 in the conference and like every other season, will be playing for third place in the West Coast Conference. The Cougars had won seven straight games prior to a very tough scheduling stretch of late as four of their previous six games before the Gaels were on the road. They are 9-3 overall at home which includes a 2-2 record in the conference with the other loss also coming by one point against 7-1 Gonzaga. Loyola-Marymount has been the surprise of the conference as the Lions are 6-3 which includes handing Gonzaga its only loss in the WCC as they won by a point on the road as a 16.5-point underdog. That did not provide any sort of letdown as they have a pair of blowout wins following that victory but those were against Pepperdine and Portland, which are a combined 3-15 in the conference and both of those were at home. Loyola-Marymount now is back on the road where they are 3-4 with the other two wins combined against 3-6 Portland and a four-point win at Grand Canyon. 10* (806) BYU Cougars
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Indiana Pacers (NBA) - 7:10 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +1.5/-110 Indiana Pacers Rating: 10*
Win
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This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS as part of our NBA Thursday Three Pack. It has been a tough stretch for the Pacers as they went 1-10 without leading scorer and assist man point guard Tyrese Haliburton, but the team has had three full days off starting on Monday before playing Thursday in the first of three home games and he is expected to finally be back in the lineup tonight. Seven of those losses came on the road and the three losses at home were against current playoff situated teams and now they are getting the benefit of the line based on the recent stretch and not the current roster in hand. The Pacers are still a solid 16-10 at home and are still in the playoff mix as they are currently No. 10 and part of the play-in tournament and just three games out of the No. 7 spot. The Lakers bounced back from the temper tantrum game against Boston and a loss at Brooklyn with an overtime win over the Knicks on Tuesday and they remain two games out of the playoff standings in the Western Conference. They are now 11-16 on the road and while they have thrived against losing teams, this is not considered the typical losing team as it was down their best player for three weeks. Los Angeles will be overvalued nearly every night and that is no exception tonight. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an road win scoring 110 or more points, when playing their 3rd game in four days. This situation is 56-27 ATS (67.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (520) Indiana Pacers
Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks (NBA) - 7:40 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +2/-110 New York Knicks Rating: 10*
Win
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This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS as part of our NBA Thursday Three Pack. New York is coming a pair of losses against the Nets and Lakers while followed two very impressive wins over Cleveland and Boston and it has been this type of run of late as a 7-1 run has been followed up by a 2-6 stretch. This is the first of three straight home games against teams with a winning record so there will be value in their numbers and that is the case here. The Knicks have gone 1-3 over their last four home games to fall two games under .500 at MSG and they are the only team in the NBA with a losing record at home and a winning record on the road. While they have gone 1-8-1 ATS against losing teams at home, they are a much more respectable 6-5-1 ATS against winning teams here. Miami is coming off an upset win at Cleveland on Tuesday to open with a split of this four-game roadtrip. The Heat have prospered at home with a 17-9 record but are just 12-14 on the road and for some reason they have been overvalued all season long as they are 9-7 as underdogs but just 11-23-2 when favored and their overall spread winning percentage of 40 percent is second worst in the NBA. Here, we play on teams coming off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off a road win by three points or less. This situation is 38-16 ATS (70.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (524) New York Knicks
Charlotte Hornets vs. Chicago Bulls (NBA) - 8:10 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -6/-110 Chicago Bulls Rating: 10*
Win
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This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS as part of our NBA Thursday Three Pack. Chicago is coming off a loss against the Clippers on Tuesday and after a rough opening to December, the Bulls have gone 12-8 over their last 20 games which is nothing spectacular but they were eight games under .500 prior to this current stretch. When Chicago wins, it tends to win by wide margins as of its 23 wins, 18 have come by more than what it is laying tonight and of the five marginal wins, two were against Milwaukee and two others against trams .500 or better. They remain home where they are two games over .500 and they are playing with revenge tonight as they lost in Charlotte by 15 points just one week ago as a three-point favorite and now back home, the line has not adjusted enough for the venue switch. Charlotte has been playing a little better as it has gone 4-3 in its last seven games with the last two victories coming at home where the Hornets have been slightly better. They are coming off a road cover at Milwaukee but were getting 11 points there where they have prospered, going 7-3-1 ATS when getting double digits. Here, we play on underdogs with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 coming off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 42-18 ATS (70 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (526) Chicago Bulls
Florida Atlantic vs. UAB (NCAAB) - 7:00 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -1/-110 UAB Rating: 10*
Win
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This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS as part of our CBB Thursday Three Pack. Florida Atlantic is the hottest team in the country as it has reeled off 20 consecutive wins and the Owls have been a covering machine as they are 15-4-1 ATS in those games yet despite all of this success, they are not favored tonight. They are 11-0 in Conference-USA but the leads is just 2.5 games over North Texas but at least four games over everyone else and the gap can be close a little bit tonight. Florida Atlantic is 8-1 on the road including a 5-0 record in the conference where the two closest wins took place against North Texas and Florida International by four points each. UAB has been a major disappointment to most observers as it is just 6-5 in the conference but that record could be a lot better. All six wins have come by at least six points while four of the five losses were by a combined eight points, two coming in overtime on the road so even playing those to the median would put the Blazers at 8-3. They have won two straight games following a blowout win at Rice and they head back home where they are 11-2 with one loss coming against Western Kentucky by a bucket. Jelly Walker has been sidelined for five straight games but is a gametime decision tonight. 10* (744) UAB Blazers
Southern Mississippi vs. Troy (NCAAB) - 7:00 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -1.5/-110 Troy Rating: 10*
Loss
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This is a play on the TROY TROJANS as part of our CBB Thursday Three Pack. Southern Mississippi has won five straight games to sit in a first place tie with UL-Lafayette at 8-2 with the last four of those victories coming at home where it is 12-0 and the lone road win coming against 1-9 Arkansas St. The Golden Eagles are 5-4 on the road and that includes a 2-2 record in the conference with the other win coming against UL-Monroe where they were a 6.5-point favorite. They are catching points for just the third time over their last 15 games and those three games resulted in losses and the public will be on them here possessing the better record. Troy has dropped two straight games to fall to 5-5 in the conference with both of those losses coming on the road that dropped the Trojans to 5-7 on the highway. They head back home where they are 7-2 with one of those losses coming against James Madison in overtime and the other coming against Mercer by three points. Troy opened the season 4-1 in the Sun Belt after coming in with preseason aspirations but the recent four losses over five games has put it into a tie for seventh place but it is just one game out of the No. 4 spot and this is the first of four straight home games. 10* (752) Troy Trojans
Elon vs. Stony Brook (NCAAB) - 7:00 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -3.5/-110 Stony Brook Rating: 10*
Loss
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This is a play on the STONY BROOK SEAWOLVES as part of our CBB Thursday Three Pack. We won with Stony Brook on Saturday as it snapped a four-game losing streak with a road win at then 2-7 Hampton to improve to 4-5 in the Colonial Athletic Association which is just a game and a half out of fifth place. Two of those losses during that recent skid were by just one possession and both of those were on the road and now the Seawolves are back home and while they are just 5-4 here, that is being factored in this number as a non-dominant home team does not get inflated. There was a bad loss against Northeastern but two other conference losses were against 8-2 Towson and 7-3 UNC Wilmington and the nonconference loss coming against 14-6 Yale. They are laying a short number against one of the worst teams in the country as Elon is 3-19 on the season including a 1-8 record in the conference. That lone victory came last time out in a huge home upset against Drexel by 14 points as a six-point underdog. That provides a big letdown spot here as that was the Phoenix first Division I victory of the entire season with the other two wins coming against Erskine (?) and J&W-Charlotte. 10* (754) Stony Brook Seawolves
Hawaii vs. UC Davis (NCAAB) - 9:00 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +1/-110 UC Davis Rating: 10*
Win
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This is a play on the UC DAVIS AGGIES for our Big West Game of the Month. Hawaii opened the season 5-1 that included winning the Diamond Head Classic against a weak field before losing a pair of games and then the Warriors went on a roll with seven straight wins, six of which were on the island and the lone road win over that stretch was against 3-7 UC San Diego. They are right in the thick of the Big West Conference race as they are 7-3, good for solo fourth place and a game and a half behind first place Santa Barbara. Hawaii is 2-2 on the road with the other victory being an impressive one against 8-2 UC Riverside but are in a tough spot here. UC Davis is coming off a road split last weekend and comes in 13-9 overall including a 6-4 record in the conference so it is right there as well and the Aggies could be even better. All four of those losses came against teams with a winning record and a combined 28-11 in the conference and three of those were by a total of 10 points and the last two coming by five points. The only exception was an eight-point loss at Hawaii which sets up a revenge spot here and the Aggies are back home where they are 6-3 with the only other loss being a nonconference defeat against Pacific by two points. 10* (820) UC Davis Aggies
Eastern Washington vs. Sacramento State (NCAAB) - 10:00 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +1/-110 Sacramento State Rating: 10*
Loss
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This is a play on the SACRAMENTO HORNETS for our CBB Thursday Ultimate Underdog. Eastern Washington remains the only undefeated team in the Big Sky Conference as it is 10-0 following a pair of home wins last week. It has not been complete domination as four of those wins were by four points or less and six have come at home where the Eagles are 9-0 overall on the season. They come in 5-5 on the road and of the four conference road wins, one came against 8-2 Montana St. but that was very early in the conference season before the Bobcats caught fire and the two most recent ones came against Northern Arizona and Northern Colorado which are a combined 4-14 in the Big Sky. Sacramento St. is coming off a loss against the Montana St. team to fall to 5-4 in the conference and the other three losses were also against winning teams, including a loss at Eastern Washington which sets up a revenge situation, and all three of those losses were on the road and by only nine points combined. The loss to the Bobcats was the Hornets first home loss of the season as they opened with eight straight wins and even with that loss taken into consideration, they are outscoring opponent by over eight ppg and are in a great position to hand the Eagles their first conference loss of the season. 10* (834) Sacramento St. Hornets
Wisconsin vs. Ohio State (NCAAB) - 7:00 PM EST
Free Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +7.5/-110 Wisconsin Rating: 1*
Win
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This is a play on the WISCONSIN BADGERS for our Thursday Free Play. Neither Wisconsin nor Ohio St. has been cashing many tickets of late and we will take advantage of this overinflated line. The Badgers have lost three straight games outright and six of their last seven and they have now gone 10 consecutive games without cashing a ticket and that is doubt playing into this number and this equals the highest underdog price they have seen over this stretch as most have been 5.5 or less. Wisconsin is 2-4 on the road with all four of those losses coming in the Big Ten where it has fallen to 4-6 following a 3-0 start which included impressive wins over Maryland and Iowa. Ohio St. has not been playing much better as it has lost two straight games and is 1-7 over its last eight games and now sits 3-7 in the conference yet is laying a huge number. The Buckeyes are a solid 8-2 at home but home court is worth about three points best case scenario for two teams on pretty equal levels both overall and in the conference so this number makes no sense. Ohio St. is also 1-7 against the number over this eight-game stretch and this is the biggest number they have laid against a team not named Minnesota. The Buckeyes have laid six or more points in the conference and failed to cover any of those, two resulting in outright losses and the win came by just one point at home against Rutgers. Play (773) Wisconsin Badgers
21-9 CBB Run! College Basketball is back Thursday following a 2-2 Wednesday split and Fargo is ready to extend a 107-78 Hoops Run and gear up for a huge February! EIGHT Winners Thursday night highlighted by his Big West Game of the Month! 18-11 NBA run and 39-28 NBA run the last 64 days after a Wednesday split and we are ready to cash again tonight with THREE Winners as we go for the PERFECT 3-0 SWEEP!
Fargo's NBA Friday Ultimate Underdog (50-32 Run)
Following a PERFECT 3-0 Thursday Sweep, the NBA is on runs of 21-11 and 42-28 run and Matt is ready for more tonight! Going back, the NBA is 50-32 L82 plays heading into a big Friday! He showed a profit last NBA regular season as he went 72-58 (+$9,380) and is ready for another big season in 2022-23. Matt has a Top Play with an Ultimate Underdog that easily COVERS the number. Grab a subscription so you do not miss a play as it is time to build your bankroll as we are ready to add to the winning!
Fargo's CBB Friday Supreme Annihilator (25-13 Run)
College hoops in now on a POTENT 25-13 Run following a 4-4 CBB Thursday split and we are ready for the best two months of the year in CBB! Matt is ready to continue the winning tonight to add to his 114-82 Hoops Run and he has another top play winner here as he is releasing a Friday Supreme Annihilator that he loves as we head to the winners circle with a BIG TIME TICKET! Grab a subscription package so you do not miss a single play as it is time to build your bankroll with a huge February start!
Fargo's CBB Friday Star Attraction (25-13 Run)
It was a split in college hoops with a 4-4 record on Thursday and we are now on a 25-13 CBB Run! College Basketball is back Friday night and Matt is ready to extend his 114-82 Hoops Run as he is ready for a big night to continue the run! Matt has a solid card in store and included is a CBB Friday Star Attraction that he loves as we head to the winners circle with a BIG TIME TICKET! Grab a subscription package so you do not miss a single play as it is time to build your bankroll to open February!
Fargo's Nonconference Game of the Month 50-32 Run
21-11 NBA run and 42-28 NBA run the last 65 days after a 3-0 Thursday Sweep and we are ready to cash again tonight! The NBA is on a SIZZLING 50-32 run and Fargo is back Friday to keep it going. He showed a profit last NBA regular season as he went 72-58 (+$9,380) and is ready for another big season in 2022-23. Matt has his Nonconference Game of the Month that WINS GOING AWAY. Grab a subscription so you do not miss a play as it is time to build your bankroll as we are ready to add to the winning!
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MLB is rolling along right now as Fargo and his clients enjoyed a profitable first half of the season and he is expecting bigger and better to end the season! All underdogs, all the time!
Early Bird Football Season Package (NFL and CFB)
Football is just around the corner and another big season is upcoming! Documented by Sports Watch Monitor last season we finished No. 8 in the NFL, going 51-39 (+$8,788) and No. 6 in CFB, going 55-36 (+$16,061). The combined (+$24,849) was No. 3 overall.
Free Sports Game Preview and Prediction: Wisconsin vs. Ohio State Thursday, February 02, 2023 7:00 PM Play: Point Spread: +7.5/-110 Wisconsin This is a play on the WISCONSIN BADGERS for our Thursday Free Play. Neither Wisconsin nor Ohio St. has been cashing many tickets of late and we will take advantage of this overinflated line. The Badgers have lost three straight games outright and s ... read more
Free Sports Game Preview and Prediction: St. Bonaventure vs. Richmond Wednesday, February 01, 2023 7:00 PM Play: Point Spread: -5/-110 Richmond This is a play on the RICHMOND SPIDERS for our Wednesday Free Play. Richmond has lost three straight games to fall to 4-5 in the Atlantic Ten, one of six teams with that record, which is still just two games out of fourth place in the standings. ... read more