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Home / Capper Profiles / Doug Knudson
Doug Knudson

NCAAF 104-67-4 (61% for +$32K

NFL NFL 17-10-1 (63% for +$7K)

ALL FOOTBALL 165-129-7 (57% for +$24K

#1 NBA 2021 (+$24K)

 
To say that sports betting is in my blood is a gross understatement. As long as I can remember, I've always been interested in sports statistics and the process of predicting winners.

In grade school, I remember staying up all night figuring what situations worked and didn't in predicting winners. I was given the name Jimmy the Greek Jr. for hitting 4-team parlay cards - all before high school!

Reading books on sports betting never stopped. In high school, I developed my own Power Ratings for each team in the NFL and college football. I discovered what factors worked best for developing my Power Ratings then started to translate those Power Ratings to basketball teams.

I went to college in the Bay Area Majoring in Business - emphasizing in statistics and probability. I added several factors to my personal power ratings and also developed accurate math models. The main reason you want to rely on numbers is to avoid being emotional - using instincts and regency bias lead sports handicappers to overreact.

During my junior year in college, I started a handicapping service and went public. I earned several Top 10 rankings at The Sports Monitor, including a few #1's - all against some of the biggest names in the Industry.

I moved to Las Vegas in 1992 and continued to run my sports service. I was also affiliated with some of the biggest handicapper "Stables" in the country and made several radio appearances along the way.

I was offered a position at a prominent Sports Book on the Strip and soon became involved in creating and moving sports betting odds. Using my love and background with the mixture of statistics, probabilities and sports - I found a new love and decided to put my Sports Service on hold. During the two-plus decades of working for the biggest sports books and bookmakers in the industry, I have gotten to know several professional sports bettors. There was ONE common factor they all used - their own numbers. Some couldn't name a player on most college basketball teams but labeled each team with a solid number and developed powerful lines to compare with.

Then the pandemic hit. After grinding numbers for the sports betting industry for 29 years, I decided to step aside and spend more time with family. I returned to my passion of handicapping sporting events. With the unparalleled experience I've gained on both sides of the counter - studying and tweaking my math models with weighting the factors that matter most - I decided to go public once more and share the wealth!


HOT STREAKS
•  NCAAF 104-67-4 (61% for +$32300) Last 175 - All Picks
•  All Football 166-131-7 (56% for +$23145) Last 304 - All Picks
•  NBA 21-17 (56% for +$650) Last 38 - All Picks

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Free Sports Game Preview and Prediction: Ohio vs. San Diego State (NCAAF)
Aug 26, 2023
Free Sports Game Preview and Prediction: Ohio vs. San Diego State
Saturday, August 26, 2023 7:00 PM
Play: Total: 49.5/-115 Under
Both teams like to run the ball and SD St passing game and QB are terrible. More of a rushing team to eat up the clock.

Free Sports Game Preview and Prediction: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans (NFL)
Jan 1, 2023
Free Sports Game Preview and Prediction: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans
Sunday, January 01, 2023 1:00 PM
Play: Point Spread: +3/100 Houston Texans
MY MODELS MADE TEXANS -1 (FALSE FAVORITE)! Jaguars are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 road games. Jaguars are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC South. Texans are 7-2-1 ATS in their l ...  read more

 
More from Doug Knudson

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Doug Knudson Release Times

All picks are released before 11am EST

Football plays the night before

 
Doug Knudson Rating System
All plays rated the same - either it qualifies my parameters or it doesn't
 
Doug Knudson Money Management

I strongly recommend playing 3% of your betting bankroll

discipline - discipline - discipline

 
Winning Streaks
- Damian Sosh: MLB2024 38-29-2 (57% for +$10360)
- Don Wallace: MLB2024 42-27 (61% for +$9695)
- Paul Chirimbes: NBA 13-5-1 (73% for +$7940)
- Brian Bitler: NHL 12-5-1 (71% for +$7490)
- Joe D'Amico: NHL 7-1 (88% for +$5535)
- Joe D'Amico: MLB2024 22-14 (62% for +$5429)

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