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Home / Capper Profiles / Doug Knudson
Doug Knudson

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Making my 1st bet in 4th grade on the Minnesota Vikings in the Superbowl and looking at a 1953 Trophy every day in my office that my Grandfather won in LA winnings a YMCA Football Picking Contest - Sports betting in my blood is an understatement! As long as I can remember, I've always been interested in sports statistics and what worked and what didn't in predicting winners!

In grade school - I remember staying up all night figuring what situations worked and didn't in predicting ATS winners - riding the bus to downtown Portland on Friday Nights to bars to hand in my parlay cards for the weekend - got the name Jimmy the Greek Jr. for the success of hitting 4-team parlay cards - again all before High School!

The researching and reading books on Sports Betting (first books - Wayne Root and Lem Banker) never stopped. High School, started to develop my own Power Ratings for each team in the NFL and College football. I was discovering exactly what factors worked best for developing my Power Ratings then started to translate those Power Ratings to basketball teams.

Off to college - I went to school in the Bay Area Majoring in Business - Emphasizing in Statistics and Probability. Started to add several factors to my personal power rating I made for each team and then started to develop Math Models (along with the help of my professor) which vastly improved the probabilities percentage. The main reason you want to rely on numbers is to avoid being emotional, using instincts and recency bias which lead sports handicappers to overreactions!

Junior year in college - I started up a handicapping service and went public to try out my selections using the math models I developed - being Monitored by The Sports Monitor - from OK, I earned several Top 10 rankings including a few #1's - all against some of the Biggest Names in the Industry.

Off to Vegas (1992) - I continued to run my Sports Service which was gaining steam and increasing my clientele membership each and every month - I was part of some of the biggest Handicapper "Stables" in the country. Was also fortunate to be invited to do guest spots on sports betting radio shows - which led to more exposure here in Vegas.

Asked to use my talents on the other side of the counter - I was offered a position at a prominent Sports Book on the Strip and soon became involved helping create and moving sports betting odds. Using my love and background with the mixture of Statistics, Probabilities and Sports - I found a New Love. Conflict of interest arose along with deciding to devote full time to my new career - I decided to put my Sports Service on hold. During the Two+ decades of working for the Biggest Sports Books and Bookmakers in the industry - I have also gotten to know several successful Professional Sports Bettors along the way and was able to pick their brains. There was ONE common factor they all used - their Own Numbers!! Some couldn't name a player on most college basketball teams they bet on - but labeled each team with a solid number and came up with very powerful lines to compare with, which helped them make a comfortable living while keeping their emotions in check.

Then the Pandemic Hit - after grinding numbers for the Sports Betting Industry for 29 years - I decided to step aside and spend more time with the family and get back to the love of Handicapping Sporting events. With the unparalleled experience I've gained on both sides of the counter - studying and tweaking my math models with weighting the factors that matter most - I decided to go public once more and share the wealth!

Recently in 2016, I decided to use my ever-improving math models in the popular Covers "Ultimate Race" contest. My Models were Incredibly Successful - helping me finish in 1st Place - beating out over 7k entrants!!

•  NCAAF 6-2 (75% for +$3850) Last 8 - All Picks
•  All Football 13-9 (60% for +$3100) Last 22 - All Picks
•  NFL 5-2 (72% for +$2800) Last 7 - All Picks
•  All Leagues 100-76-5 (57% for +$18610) Last 181 - Premium Picks
•  NBA 26-12-1 (69% for +$12800) Last 39 - All Picks

Saturday, January 23, 2021
Montana vs. Sacramento State (NCAAB) - 2:05 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -2.5/-105     Montana   Rating: 10* Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Tennessee Martin vs. Morehead State (NCAAB) - 4:00 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 12/-115     Tennessee Martin   Rating: 10* Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Southern Mississippi vs. Texas San Antonio (NCAAB) - 4:00 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -5.5/-110     Texas San Antonio   Rating: 10* Win
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Western Carolina vs. Wofford (NCAAB) - 4:00 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 8.5/-115     Western Carolina   Rating: 10* Score Not Available At
This Time
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Akron vs. Western Michigan (NCAAB) - 5:00 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 8/-110     Western Michigan   Rating: 10* Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Miami Ohio vs. Eastern Michigan (NCAAB) - 5:30 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 1.5/-110     Eastern Michigan   Rating: 10* Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
St. Bonaventure vs. Duquesne (NCAAB) - 7:00 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 5/-109     Duquesne   Rating: 10* Win
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
View Previous Five Days' Picks

Last 30 Days' Results
•  All Leagues 109-84-6 (57% for +$18860)
•  NBA 2020 30-17-1 (64% for +$11350)
•  NCAAB 2020 66-57-5 (54% for +$5510)
•  NCAAF 2020 6-3 (67% for +$2750)

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NFL Bucs - Packers Playoff Winner (99-77 Run)!
Doug Knudson's Inaugural VegasTopDogs was a Success - including 5-2 Start in the NFL Playoffs after cashing the Underdog Buccaneers (Double Digit Winner) and his Game of the Week Winner on the Bills (won by 14 pts) last week! Now, for Sunday, Doug's back in NFL action with a CONFERENCE PLAYOFF Winner! Its at least a FG off from My Math Models!

Doug Knudson's Red-Hot Out of the Gate at VegasTopDog (99-77 All Sports Run), including 5-2 in the NFL Playoffs. Get Doug's Strongest Play in the Playoffs - NFL Game of the Month!

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Tricky NFL Week 17 - Who's Playing Cheat Sheet!!
Jan 3, 2021

Cardinals - QB Murray - Playing Hurt

Rams - QB - Goff - Out

Wash - QB - Smith - Playing Hurt

Dolphins- QB - Fitzpatrick - Out

Bills - WR - Beasley - Out - WR - Brown - Playing

Browns - Top 4 WR - Playing - (All Out last week)

Saints - RB - Kamara - Out

Eagles - DT - Cox - Playing Hurt

Texans- QB - Watson - Playing Hurt

Chiefs - QB - Mahomes - Out ...  read more

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Doug Knudson Release Times

All picks are released before 11am EST

Football plays the night before

Doug Knudson Rating System
All plays rated the same - either it qualifies my parameters or it doesn't
Doug Knudson Money Management

I strongly recommend playing 3% of your betting bankroll

discipline - discipline - discipline

Winning Streaks
- Doug Knudson: NBA 30-17-1 (64% for +$11350)
- Lou Lacerda : NCAAB 28-19-2 (60% for +$10030)
- Lou Lacerda : NCAAF 8-1 (89% for +$6850)
- (TonyK) 3G-Sports: NFL 11-3-1 (79% for +$5730)
- Cajun Sports: NFL 10-3 (77% for +$5623)
- Doug Knudson: NCAAB 66-57-5 (54% for +$5510)

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