To say that sports betting is in my blood is a gross understatement. As long as I can remember, I've always been interested in sports statistics and the process of predicting winners.
In grade school, I remember staying up all night figuring what situations worked and didn't in predicting winners. I was given the name Jimmy the Greek Jr. for hitting 4-team parlay cards - all before high school!
Reading books on sports betting never stopped. In high school, I developed my own Power Ratings for each team in the NFL and college football. I discovered what factors worked best for developing my Power Ratings then started to translate those Power Ratings to basketball teams.
I went to college in the Bay Area Majoring in Business - emphasizing in statistics and probability. I added several factors to my personal power ratings and also developed accurate math models. The main reason you want to rely on numbers is to avoid being emotional - using instincts and regency bias lead sports handicappers to overreact.
During my junior year in college, I started a handicapping service and went public. I earned several Top 10 rankings at The Sports Monitor, including a few #1's - all against some of the biggest names in the Industry.
I moved to Las Vegas in 1992 and continued to run my sports service. I was also affiliated with some of the biggest handicapper "Stables" in the country and made several radio appearances along the way.
I was offered a position at a prominent Sports Book on the Strip and soon became involved in creating and moving sports betting odds. Using my love and background with the mixture of statistics, probabilities and sports - I found a new love and decided to put my Sports Service on hold. During the two-plus decades of working for the biggest sports books and bookmakers in the industry, I have gotten to know several professional sports bettors. There was ONE common factor they all used - their own numbers. Some couldn't name a player on most college basketball teams but labeled each team with a solid number and developed powerful lines to compare with.
Then the pandemic hit. After grinding numbers for the sports betting industry for 29 years, I decided to step aside and spend more time with family. I returned to my passion of handicapping sporting events. With the unparalleled experience I've gained on both sides of the counter - studying and tweaking my math models with weighting the factors that matter most - I decided to go public once more and share the wealth!
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Saturday, September 30, 2023
Nevada vs. Fresno State (NCAAF) - 10:30 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +24.5/-105 Nevada Rating: 10*
Win
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MY MATH MODELS MADE FRESNO ST -18
Nevada is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Fresno State
Big Fade spot against Fresno St - Disinterested Bulldogs just whipped up on Kent by 43 and getting ready for a tough road trip to Wyoming next week!
San Diego State vs. Air Force (NCAAF) - 8:00 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +10.5/-105 San Diego State Rating: 10*
Loss
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MY MATH MODELS MADE AIR FORCE -6
San Diego State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Air Force
San Diego State are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Air Force.
Michigan State vs. Iowa (NCAAF) - 7:30 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +10.5/-105 Michigan State Rating: 10*
Win
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MY MATH MODELS MADE IOWA -5
Michigan State are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against Iowa.
Iowa are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the East Division division.
Charlotte vs. SMU (NCAAF) - 7:30 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +22.5/-105 Charlotte Rating: 10*
Win
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MY MATH MODELS MADE SMU -16
Charlotte is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Southern Methodist are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.
Troy vs. Georgia State (NCAAF) - 7:00 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +1/-105 Troy Rating: 10*
Win
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MY MATH MODELS MADE TROY -5 (FALSE FAVORITE)
Troy is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Troy is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
Troy are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games against an opponent in the Sun Belt conference.
Baylor vs. Central Florida (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +8.5/-105 Baylor Rating: 10*
Win
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MY MATH MODELS MADE UCF -5
Central Florida are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.
Bowling Green vs. Georgia Tech (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +21/-105 Bowling Green Rating: 10*
Win
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MY MATH MODELS MADE GEORGIA TECH -15
Georgia Tech are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games at home.
Georgia Tech are 7-13 SU in their last 20 games.
Northern Illinois vs. Toledo (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +13/-105 Northern Illinois Rating: 10*
Win
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MY MATH MODELS MADE TOLEDO -8
Northern Illinois is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toledo
Northern Illinois are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games against Toledo.
Toledo are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Mid-American conference.
Arizona State vs. California (NCAAF) - 3:00 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +12.5/-105 Arizona State Rating: 10*
Win
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MY MATH MODELS MADE CALIFORNIA -8
Arizona State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing California
California are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games.
Virginia vs. Boston College (NCAAF) - 2:00 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +3.5/-105 Virginia Rating: 10*
Win
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MY MATH MODELS MADE VIRGINIA -3 (FALSE FAVORITE)
Boston College are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.
Boston College are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games.
Boston College are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games.
Eastern Michigan vs. Central Michigan (NCAAF) - 1:30 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +9.5/100 Eastern Michigan Rating: 10*
Win
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MY MATH MODELS MADE CENTRAL MICHIGAN -5
Eastern Michigan is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Central Michigan are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against an opponent in the Mid-American conference.
Buffalo vs. Akron (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +3/-105 Buffalo Rating: 10*
Win
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MY MATH MODELS MADE BUFFALO -2 (FALSE FAVORITE)
JUST MISSED OUT AS GOM PLAY
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Akron
Akron are 4-16 SU in their last 20 games at home.
Akron are 1-13 SU in their last 14 games against an opponent in the Mid-American conference.
UAB vs. Tulane (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +21.5/-105 UAB Rating: 10*
Win
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MY MATH MODELS MADE TULANE -15
Alabama-Birmingham are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the American Athletic Conference conference.
Alabama-Birmingham are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against Tulane.
NFL AFTERNOON DELIGHT (12-1 SATURDAY - 53-28)
Doug Knudson had a MONSTER day Saturday going 12-1, including a 3-0 Game of the Month SWEEP with huge winners on Troy, Virginia, and Nevada! Doug's now 42-18 on his GOM/Year plays for a whopping 70%! Doug's also having a historical football season, now 53-28 (65%) and featuring 8 plays for Sunday, including this late afternoon Patriot/Cowboy Battle as he builds his 178-129 All Sports run!
NFC GAME OF THE MONTH (35-14 (71%) GOM RUN)!
Doug Knudson had a MONSTER day Saturday going 12-1, including a 3-0 Game of the Month SWEEP with huge winners on Troy, Virginia, and Nevada! Doug's now 42-18 on his GOM/Year plays for a whopping 70%! Doug's also having a historical football season, now 53-28 (65%) and featuring 8 plays for Sunday, including his NFC GAME OF THE MONTH as he looks to make it 36-14 last 50 GOM plays!
SNF PRIMETIME (178-129 RUN)!
Doug Knudson had a MONSTER day Saturday going 12-1, including a 3-0 Game of the Month SWEEP with huge winners on Troy, Virginia, and Nevada! Doug's now 42-18 on his GOM/Year plays for a whopping 70%! Doug's also having a historical football season, now 53-28 (65%) and featuring 8 plays for Sunday, including this Chiefs/Jets Primetime Battle as he builds his 178-129 All Sports run!
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Free Sports Game Preview and Prediction: Ohio vs. San Diego State Saturday, August 26, 2023 7:00 PM Play: Total: 49.5/-115 Under Both teams like to run the ball and SD St passing game and QB are terrible. More of a rushing team to eat up the clock.
Free Sports Game Preview and Prediction: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans Sunday, January 01, 2023 1:00 PM Play: Point Spread: +3/100 Houston Texans MY MODELS MADE TEXANS -1 (FALSE FAVORITE)!
Jaguars are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 road games.
Jaguars are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC South.
Texans are 7-2-1 ATS in their l ... read more
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Doug Knudson
