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Home / Capper Profiles / Don Wallace
Don Wallace
My numbers speak for themselves. 37-23 ATS 62% college football. 38-16 ATS 73% NFL. I never LOSE! Every year I am 50 to 60 games over 500. Don't believe me, then just follow me for a few months.
 
The Las Vegas Review Journal once referred to Don Wallace as "the next big thing" in our industry. Throughout his 27 years as a professional handicapper in New Orleans, he served as a consultant to some of the biggest sports bettors on the Gulf Coast. Dons streetsmart handicapping style can best be described as a true contrarian. He takes a very detailed and comprehensive approach to isolating on the LIVE DOG. Teams in the underdog role that he believes have a viable chance of winning outright. Moreover, Don is a highly selective, low volume player that uses his unique mathematical models and power ratings to identify in season statistical performance patterns to provide only the sharpest plays on the board. His power ratings are based on a proprietary algorithm. Throughout the years, Don has cultivated an unparalleled network of contacts (on both sides of the counter) from Vegas to offshore. After a 10 year hiatus and several weeks of talks, we are happy to announce that all of Don's plays can be found here exclusively on vegastopdogs.com. We welcome him and all of his clients back.


Friday, December 02, 2022
Houston Rockets vs. Phoenix Suns (NBA) - 9:10 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -11.5/-110     Phoenix Suns   Rating: 4* Loss
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Last 30 Days' Results
•  NBA 2022 14-12 (54% for +$130)
•  NFL 2022 11-7 (62% for +$1100)

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Don's 7-Day ALL SPORTS pass
Don Wallace is one of the most sought after handicappers in the nation, and continues to CRUSH THE BOOKS year after year. We are already 51-17-2 ATS the last 30 days. My clients are making money hand over fist. I am not here to pitch you. I dont have to. I let my numbers do the talking. The 7-Day all access pass is our most popular package. Get on board, YOU WILL WIN! Every year I am in the 60% percentile range with absolutely the SHARPEST plays of the week.

30-Day All Picks All Sports
Don Wallace is one of the most sought after handicappers in the nation, and continues to CRUSH THE BOOKS year after year. Currently on a monster tear 51-17-2 ATS in the last 30 days and I vow to all my clients to on the money season after season. The 30-Day all access pass is one of our most popular packages. Get on board, YOU WILL WIN! Every year I am in the 60% percentile range with absolutely the SHARPEST plays of the week.

1 year All Access Pass(Best Value)
Don Wallace is one of the most sought after handicappers in the nation, and continues to CRUSH THE BOOKS year after year. Currently on a monster tear 51-17-2 ATS last 30 days. I vow to all my clients to put you in the plus column every season. Get ALL PICKS in ALL SPORTS for the next year! SUPER VALUE and comes out to just $150/month. If you can't afford that you shouldn't be gambling. Get on board, YOU WILL WIN! Every year I am in the 60% percentile range with absolutely the SHARPEST plays of the week.


Free Sports Game Preview and Prediction: NC State vs. Louisville (NCAAF)
Nov 19, 2022
Free Sports Game Preview and Prediction: NC State vs. Louisville
Saturday, November 19, 2022 3:30 PM
Play: Point Spread: -3/-115 Louisville
I'm confident about Louisville because Cunningham may not play, but they have a quality backup QB in Domann, who has 584 yards passing and 56 yards rushing with a TD. LVille is at home and that will be the difference maker here today. Also, Louisv ...  read more

Free Sports Game Preview and Prediction: Duke vs. Pittsburgh (NCAAF)
Nov 19, 2022
Free Sports Game Preview and Prediction: Duke vs. Pittsburgh
Saturday, November 19, 2022 12:05 PM
Play: Point Spread: -7/-110 Pittsburgh
Staying focused has been a major problem for Pittsburgh - but when they are all together and on the same page, they can be more than enough to handle. The Panthers will be able to attack on the ground and drop them into a good position to win. Pittsburg ...  read more

 
More from Don Wallace

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Don Wallace Release Times
In this business, you cannot just do what's convenient or easy. I have several monitors throughout my office and house. I am watching line movement 24/7. When I get my number on a game, or I see the betting syndicates "steaming" a number up, I know it's time to move. In football, I generally bet the vast majority of my games Monday as soon as the lines come out. 80% of my plays in football are UNDERDOGS. You get your best value early in the week. Vegas generally allows the professionals to take the first crack at their lines, then adjust them accordingly. My clients know you have to be on standby with a couple outs ready.
 
Don Wallace Rating System
Game Theory 101 has taught me, from a "statistic and probability"standpoint, each game is it's own separate entity. Because there are only two possible results that affect the money , the game of chance is expressed in a 50/50 equation. Mathematically, people who assign a game with these ridiculous unit ratings, do so arbitrarily. Again, when there is only one of two possible results. How specifically does someone arrive at one game having a better chance of winning when you are numerically unable to cannot substantiate it.
 
Don Wallace Money Management
I employ a "flat betting system, that allocates a fixed percentage of my bankroll. Generally, 3% to 4% in football and 2% in all other sports. It's a very simple but disciplined approach to money management. I typically wager more in football because my annual winning percentages are in the 60 percentile range year after year. However, because of my background in baseball wagering, when it comes to playing favorites in football, I do not hesitate to jump on the moneyline. My approach is to identify the strongest play on the board and get in and turn a profit. Even though I may be on a team that is -310 on the moneyline, my unit size never changes. My rate of return may be smaller than if I would have bet the the game at -110 on the line............but consider all those games you lose on the hook, by 1 point or even a push. My only objective is to make the highest percentage play on the board that will enable myself and my clients to make money. Unlike most, I have a cut off point with any sport that I bet. My objective is to make money and move on. For example, in college football this year I was 35-21 ATS 62%, 14 games over 500. That's basically my target number, 13 to 15 games over 500 in every sport that I wager on. Staying with my college football example, 62% over 56 plays..........really, that is as good as it gets. If I was to continue to keep grinding, I would inevitably give some of my profits back. Again, I am in the business of making my clients and myself money. I am writing this 11/18/22, and I am also 35-14 ATS 72% in the NFL..........I have 4 very strong plays this week, however, this will be my last week betting the NFL. I do not wager on college basketball. I will focus on the NBA until baseball season. My objective is to be 50 to 60 games over 500 every year. This is how I pay the bills. The same plays my clients receive are the same games I am betting.
 
Winning Streaks
- Doug Knudson: NFL 18-7-1 (72% for +$10250)
- Brian Bitler: NBA 23-13 (64% for +$8750)
- Rob Vinciletti: NHL 12-3 (80% for +$8350)
- Brian Bitler: NFL 15-6 (72% for +$8300)
- Kevin Thomas: NHL 11-4-1 (74% for +$7480)
- Paul Chirimbes: NCAAF 23-13 (64% for +$7000)







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