The Miami Heat and the Los Angeles Lakers take the hardwood on Wednesday night in Game One of the NBA Finals. The Lakers won both matchups between the clubs this season. In the first meeting the Heat could not buy a basket shooting thirty-five percent from the field and just seventeen percent from behind the arc. They lost that one 95 to 80. The second meeting was much different except for the winner of the game the Heat scored 110 in the loss as the Lakers put up 113 to get the victory. We expect a similar outcome tonight and our numbers recommend a play on the high side of the oddsmakers total. These two clubs have seen the high side cash in their conference final series with the Heat and the Celtics going Over in five of their six games while the Lakers and the Nuggets finished on the high side in four of their last five trips to the hardwood. Play Over in NBA games where the total is 210 to 219.5 after scoring 115 points or more against opponent after scoring 120 points or more, 144-88 ATS for 62.1 percent winners and a profit of +47.2 units. The TPR Index projects a game total of 224.6 points. The MM projects a game total differential of +7.23 with a total range of 217.0 to 219.5. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has an offensive-defensive differential of +7.36 with a transitional average of 42.91 and a conversion rate range 45.56 to 47.44. The SIM Matrix has the Over with a 72.95 percent advantage against the oddsmakers total in this contest. Play Over on NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 after two or more consecutive wins, playing with three or more days rest, 45-20 ATS for sixty-nine percent winners and a profit of twenty-three units over the last five seasons. Both teams coming off a set of games where the oddsmakers adjusted their totals by as much as seven points for the Heat and eight points for the Lakers from the start of their Conference Finals and still could not catch the totals we like the Over trend to continue tonight. The oddsmakers have made another small adjustment for tonight’s game but we are still going to play this one to finish on the high side with all indictors pointing to an Over in Game One of the NBA Finals. 7* OVER