One of the most famous Thanksgiving Day rivalries renews on Thursday with the Washington Football Team traveling to face the hometown Dallas Cowboys. Strangely enough both teams are still alive in the horrible NFC East with both coming off wins in their last game. Washington defeated the Bengals 20 to 9 as 1.5-point home favorites while the Cowboys are coming off a huge upset of the Vikings winning 31 to 28 as seven-point road underdogs. The Cowboys are still America’s Team well at least this week because all the money has come in on the Boys with a 3 to 1 advantage but the oddsmakers have not moved the line to reflect that massive differential in money. We are not playing into or against that our focus is on the total in this one. For Washington they have won the stat war in their last five games and we have seen the points allowed by their defense improve over that span with the lone game in the thirties coming in Detroit the rest were low twenties or single digits. The Cowboys have seen similar performances not quite as good as Washington, but their defense has improved. With their lone 30+ defensive performance coming five games ago with Arizona since then they have allowed in the twenties. This situation sets up very well for a low sided affair with divisional teams facing off in a Thursday contest. We want to play Under on division home favorites with a total of thirty-eight or more points and playing on Thursday because these games have finished on the low side of the oddsmakers number with a record of 27-59-1 Under. If they are playing in Game Six or later that record improves to 17-49-1 Under which is what we have here. Finally, if we have a total of less than fifty-three points our systems record improves to 3-20 Under. Our numbers also favor the Under in this matchup. The TPR Index projects a game point total average of 38.98 points. The MM projects a total point differential of -8.11 against the current total range. The SIM Matrix has the UNDER with a 74.16 percent advantage against the oddsmakers total. The projected OFF-DEF splits have the UNDER with a significant advantage with a combined average for both teams of -8.07 points against the oddsmakers total. With solid fundamentals and powerful situational elements, we will play this one to come up well short of the oddsmakers total Thursday afternoon in Big D. 8* UNDER

This game will take place at the Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville CT with tipoff set for 9:30 PM Eastern Time Thursday night. Both clubs come into this contest having won their opening round games in the 2K Empire Classic Tournament. The 3rd ranked Wildcats had their hands full in their opener with the Eagles of Boston College eventually winning 76 to 67 which is a bit misleading. With just over thirteen minutes to go in the second half of that game the Cats were trailing the Eagles 57 to 48 and finding the going tough against this pesky bunch from Boston. They needed a 9 to 1 run to close out the victory after shooting fifty percent from the field and almost thirty-five percent from long distance. The Nova defense allowed BC to shoot forty-seven percent from the field and almost thirty-one percent from behind the arc. Tonight’s opponent the 18th ranked Sun Devils defeated Rhode Island 94 to 88 to advance to the final round tonight. Although it was a high scoring affair with not much defense the Devils D rose to the challenge with just under three minutes left in regulation and held the Rams scoreless which sealed the victory for the Devils. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 1.04 points. The MM projects a point differential of -6.87 points with a line range of +5.0 to +8.5. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has an offensive-defensive differential of 6.51 with a transitional average of 42.66 and a conversion rate range of 46.2 to 48.5 percent in tonight’s contest. The SIM Matrix has the Arizona State Sun Devils with a 73.59 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. With significant support for the Devils we will take the points in this one as ASU keeps it close. 7* ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS