We are in South Beach for Game Four of the series between the visiting Cleveland Guardians and the host Miami Heat. With Cleveland holding a commanding 3-0 lead in the series, the stakes are high for Miami as they fight to avoid elimination and extend their postseason. In Game One, Cleveland secured a 121 to 100 victory at home, covering the line as a 12.5-point favorite. They continued their winning streak with a 121 to 112 win in Game Two, although Miami managed to cover the line as a 12-point underdog. Game Three saw Cleveland travel to South Beach, where they effortlessly triumphed 124 to 87, easily covering the five-point line. Through the first three games of the series, Cleveland has exhibited remarkable efficiency. They are shooting fifty plus percent from the field, holding a plus six rebound per game average while scoring an average of 122 points per game. Miami, on the other hand, has struggled to keep up with Cleveland's relentless pace. Despite traditionally performing well against the Cavaliers at home, with 15 wins in the last 20 meetings at Kaseya Center, the Heat have not been able to replicate their past success in this series. In Game Three, Miami suffered their worst playoff loss in franchise history, as we previously mentioned they fell 124 to 87 in that game. During the regular season you may look for a bounce back performance from the team suffering such an embarrassing loss but not in the playoffs and not backing a team that has proven they cannot get close to this Cavs team. In fact, the Heat qualify as a towel tossing playoff team sitting at 0-3 and the games not even close. The TPR Index projects a point advantage of 14.99 points. The MM projects a point differential of +6.38 versus the current line range. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has an offensive-defensive differential of 5.94 with a transitional average of 42.76 and a projected conversion rate range 47.9 to 49.9. The SIM Matrix has the Cleveland Cavaliers with a 74.18 percent advantage versus the spread in this contest. Play ON NBA road favorites between -4 and -11 off of 3+ straight games where they put up 105 points or more, 664-492 ATS (57%)(+$12,280). Play ON NBA teams that just went Under the posted total facing teams that are on a four or more-game losing streak with their most recent loss coming at home, 319-222 ATS (59%)(+$7,480). Nothing in this series so far has indicated to us that Miami can avoid elimination here. Even without their second-best player and main playmaker Garland, the Cavaliers destroyed the Heat in Game Three. We expect a similar outcome in Monday’s game with the Cavs winning by double digits in South Beach on Monday night. PREDICTION: 9* CLEVELAND CAVALIERS 123 MIAMI HEAT 108