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Jeff's 2025 SEC Spotlight Team |
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Jeff Hochman Aug 10, 2025 |
Kalen DeBoer enters his second campaign after establishing a new culture while replacing Nick Saban during significant roster turnover last season. Players and coaches are now familiar with the program's identity. Alabama's key offseason move is the return of Ryan Grubb as offensive coordinator. Grubb brings NFL experience from his 2024 season with the Seattle Seahawk ...
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Jeff's 2025 AFC East Spotlight Team |
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Jeff Hochman Aug 8, 2025 |
I understand the risks of exceeding a double-digit win total. Look at Josh Allen and the Bills since his second year; he's a cheat code. They went 10-6 in 2019, 13-3 in 2020, 11-6 in 2021, 13-3 in 2021, 11-6 in 2023, and 13-3 last season. This is the most stacked roster in the league, with depth at several key positions except for QB. The foundation of Buffalo's success rests ...
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Jeff's 2025 AFC North Spotlight Team |
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Jeff Hochman Aug 7, 2025 |
We know the NFL is a Quarterback league. At 41 years old, Aaron Rodgers enters 2025 showing signs of physical decline after a disappointing 2024 season with the Jets. His completion percentage of 63% ranked 31st out of 39 qualifying quarterbacks. His EPA (Expected Points Added) per play ranked 32nd, and his average target depth (7.4 yards) was 26th in the league. Aaron Rodger ...
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Jeff's 2025 AFC West Spotlight Team |
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Jeff Hochman Aug 6, 2025 |
Let's start with the overall strength of schedule, which ranks just 15th (.505) and 19th by win-total projections, a stark contrast to the gauntlet many teams face. Nine home games in the 17-game rotation gives the Denver Broncos an extra mile-high edge.
Bo Nix was drafted to run Sean Payton's timing-based system, which helped the Broncos sneak into the pla ...
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Jeff's 2025 ACC College Football Spotlight Team |
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Jeff Hochman Aug 6, 2025 |
Clemson leads the nation in returning production, including 86% of their offensive production and 75% of their defense. This continuity is exceptionally rare for a program consistently sending players to the NFL. Clemson's offensive line returns four of five starters and ranks among Pro Football Focus's top 10 nationally. Senior quarterback Cade Klubnik is back after an impr ...
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Jeff's Grade 2 Beverly D. Stakes Selection |
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Jeff Hochman Aug 5, 2025 |
Grade 2 Beverly D. Stakes | Colonial Downs | Race 10 | August 9
#3 Beach Bomb (4-1) Win-Place
Beach Bomb began her five-year-old campaign with a gate-to-wire victory in the Grade 3 Very One Stakes at Gulfstream Park on March 1, followed by another front-running victory in the Grade 3 Orchid Stakes on March 29, where she prevailed ...
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Jeff's 2025 Mountain West CFB Spotlight Team |
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Jeff Hochman Aug 5, 2025 |
Troy Calhoun begins his 18th season at Air Force, where he has an overall record of 135-89, establishing one of the most consistent programs in college football. Under his leadership, the Falcons have made 13 bowl game appearances and achieved at least nine wins in eight seasons. Last year's 5-7 record represented only the fifth losing season in Calhoun's tenure. He has a s ...
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Jeff's 2025 Big 10 CFB Spotlight Team |
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Jeff Hochman Aug 1, 2025 |
These CFB Season Win Total Best Bets went 4-2 in 2024.
I went over 7.5 last season and missed it by one. I'm back for more. Nebraska is poised for a significant advancement in 2025, thanks to Matt Rhule's established history of remarkable improvements in the third year of his coaching tenure. At Temple and Baylor, Rhule followed a similar pattern: ...
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Jeff's Grade 1 Whitney Stakes Preview |
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Jeff Hochman Jul 31, 2025 |
Grade 1 Whitney | Saratoga | Race 11 | August 2
1. Mindframe (5-2) Jockey: Jose Gomez | Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Purchased for $600,000, Mindframe has earned over $1.8 million with a career record of 5-2-0 in 7 starts. This 4-year-old colt has shown remarkable improvement throughout his career, winning back-to-back Grade 1 races in ...
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Jeff's 2025 AFC South Spotlight Team |
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Jeff Hochman Jul 29, 2025 |
Last season, the Tennessee Titans faced significant challenges against the spread, finishing with a record of 2-15 while winning only three games overall. Everything will be different this season.
Rookie quarterback Cam Ward, selected with the first overall pick, is the most significant catalyst for Tennessee's improvement. He has consistently improved th ...
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Jeff's 2025 Big 12 College Football Spotlight Team |
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Jeff Hochman Jul 28, 2025 |
Jeff's 2025 Big 12 College Football Spotlight Team is here. Last year's CFB Season Win Total Best Bets finished 4-2 in 2024. Let's start building this year's portfolio.
Texas Tech is entering the 2025 season with a significant scheduling advantage that should help surpass an 8.5 win total. According to Phil Steele, the Red Raiders have the most man ...
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Jeff's Grade 2 Jim Dandy Preview |
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Jeff Hochman Jul 23, 2025 |
Grade 2 Jim Dandy Stakes | Saratoga | Race 10 | July 26
1. Baeza (3-1) Jockey: Hector Berrios | Trainer: John Shirreffs
Baeza's best performance was a strong second in the Grade 1 Santa Anita Derby, finishing ¾ of a length behind Journalism. The $1.2 million yearling has shown consistent late-running ability but is still searchin ...
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Jeff's Grade 2 San Clemente Stake Preview |
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Jeff Hochman Jul 17, 2025 |
Grade 2 San Clemente Stakes| Del Mar | Race 9 | July 19
1. Will Then (4-1) Jockey: Mike Smith | Trainer: Jonathan Thomas
Will Then has been in excellent form for trainer Jonathan Thomas and Augustin Stables. She won the Grade 3 Jimmy Durante Stakes at Del Mar in November 2024, scoring by 2 ¼ lengths over Amorita at 10-1 odds. She ...
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A 2015-2024 Form Guide to Del Mar's Evolving Track Biases |
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Jeff Hochman Jul 13, 2025 |
The past decade at Del Mar confirms an old maxim—pace makes the race—but the balance between speed, moisture, winds, rail settings, and maintenance has shifted repeatedly. Below are track trends on how each configuration has played since 2015 with a few subsets, followed by a fast-acting handicapping checklist.
Dirt Course Trends
...
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Jeff's Grade 3 Kelly's Landing Stakes Preview |
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Jeff Hochman Jun 27, 2025 |
Grade 3 Kelly’s Landing Stakes | Churchill Downs | Race 9 | June 28
1. Dr. Venkman (5-2) Jockey: Antonio Fresu Trainer: Mark Glatt
Dr. Venkman won the Grade 2 San Diego Handicap at Del Mar in July 2024. He pressed the early pace and pulled ahead to secure a victory by a length in the 1?-mile race. His most recent appeara ...
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Jeff's Grade 2 Wise Dan Stakes Preview |
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Jeff Hochman Jun 27, 2025 |
Grade 2 Wise Dan Stakes | Churchill Downs | Race 10 | June 28
1. Henro (20-1) Jockey: Rafael Bejarano Trainer: Chris A. Hartman
Henro brings a career record of 15 starts with five wins, 1 second, and earnings of $666,349. This 4-year-old gelding has shown consistency but lacks recent graded stakes success at this level. Two of ...
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Jeff's 250k American Derby Preview |
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Jeff Hochman Jun 27, 2025 |
American Derby | Churchill Downs | Race 12 | June 28
1. Reagan's Wit (3-1) Jockey: Jose Ortiz Trainer: Cherie DeVaux
Reagan's Wit enters this race after a decisive victory in the James W. Murphy Stakes (listed) at Pimlico on May 17, where he won by 3 ¼ lengths as the 1-2 favorite. This chestnut son of Authentic has demonstra ...
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Jeff's Grade 1 Stephen Foster Stakes Preview |
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Jeff Hochman Jun 26, 2025 |
Grade 1 Stephen Foster Stakes | Churchill Downs | Race 11 | June 28
1. First Mission (4-1) Jockey: Luis Saez Trainer: Brad Cox
First Mission has established himself as a consistent graded stakes performer, with notable victories in the (G3) Lexington Stakes as a two-year-old and recent success in the (G2) Oa ...
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Jeff's Grade 3 Ohio Derby Preview |
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Jeff Hochman Jun 18, 2025 |
Grade 3 Ohio Derby | Thistledown | Race 12 | June 21
1. Brereton's Baytown (30/1) Jockey: Marshall Mendez Trainer: Paul McEntee
Brereton's Baytown enters as a huge longshot, having faced elite competition in the (G2) Rebel Stakes, (G1) Arkansas Derby, and (G3) Peter Pan Stakes without success and no real excuse in any of those rac ...
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Unleash the Power of the Show Parlay Horse Racing System |
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Jeff Hochman Jun 18, 2025 |
Many people enjoy making a good parlay bet, so why not use this strategy in horse racing. There's a popular system that gives you, the bettor, complete control if you win your first leg (race). Here's how it works, along with some helpful tips.
The Show Parlay
The show parlay is a popular, low-risk betting strategy in horse racin ...
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Jeff's Santa Anita Late Pick 5 Preview on Saturday, June 14 |
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Jeff Hochman Jun 13, 2025 |
Santa Anita Late Pick 5 Selections - Saturday, June 14, 2025
Race 8 - Claiming (6 Furlongs, Turf) - $37,000 Purse
(#1, #2, #4)
Noble Reflection (5/2) represents solid value in this claiming race on the turf. Consistent form recently, finishing second by just 2 1/4 lengths behind Yacowlef at Santa Anita in ...
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Jeff's Grade 1 Belmont Stakes Preview |
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Jeff Hochman Jun 4, 2025 |
Grade 1 Belmont Stakes | Saratoga | Race 13 | June 7
1. Hill Road (10/1) Irad Ortiz Jr. / Chad Brown
This three-year-old colt by Quality Road won the Grade 3 Peter Pan Stakes on May 10, earning a career-best 99 Equibase Speed Figure. He will need to improve his speed figures by 8 to 10 points with less than one month of rest to win ...
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Jeff's Grade 1 Shoemaker Mile Preview |
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Jeff Hochman May 25, 2025 |
Grade 1 Shoemaker Mile | Race 9 | Santa Anita | May 26
This race is one of the top turf events of Santa Anita's spring meeting and features a competitive field of middle-distance specialists competing for prestigious honors on Memorial Day. The event has drawn several accomplished stakes performers, including recent graded stakes winners and thoroughbreds ...
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Jeff's Snow Chief Stakes Saturday Best Bet |
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Jeff Hochman May 24, 2025 |
Snow Chief Stakes | Santa Anita | Race 10 | May 24
#6 Cali Cat (3/1) Win & Place
Five out of the eight entries have never won a race without Lasix. However, this does not apply to Cali Cat. Cali Cat's highest Equibase Speed Figure in 2025 is 95, which is quite competitive for California-bred three-year-olds at this level. The horse that ...
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Jeff's Grade 1 Preakness Stakes Preview |
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Jeff Hochman May 15, 2025 |
Grade 1 Preakness Stakes Preview | Race 13 | Pimlico | May 17
1. Goal Oriented (6/1) Bob Baffert / Flavien Prat
Goal Oriented is 2-for-2 and is now making a significant jump in class. He earned a 109 Equibase Speed Figure in his allowance win on a sloppy surface during the Kentucky Derby undercard. Bob Baffert, an ...
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A Guide to Horse Racing Dosage for Successful Wagering on the Kentucky Derby |
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Jeff Hochman Apr 21, 2025 |
The Kentucky Derby, famously known as the 'The Run for the Roses,' holds a significant place in the annals of horse racing. As the first leg of the esteemed Triple Crown, it sets the stage for the Preakness Stakes and Belmont Stakes. This race, steeped in rich history and traditions, draws the finest horses from across the globe. For horse racing enthusiasts, the horse's do ...
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Jeff's Grade 1 Santa Anita Derby Preview |
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Jeff Hochman Apr 1, 2025 |
Grade 1 Santa Anita Derby | Santa Anita | Race 10 | April 5
#1 - Journalism (6/5), trained by Michael McCarthy & ridden by Umberto Rispoli
This three-year-old colt by Curlin has never finished out of the money in four starts, winning three consecutive races and earning $338,880. On March 1, at Santa Anita, Journalism won the Grade ...
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Jeff's Grade 1 Florida Derby Preview |
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Jeff Hochman Mar 27, 2025 |
Grade 1 Florida Derby | Gulfstream Park | Race 14 | March 29
#1 - Neoequos (10/1), trained by Saffie Joseph Jr. & ridden by Edgard Zayas
This 3-year-old colt by Neolithic has demonstrated remarkable consistency with five in-the-money finishes (two wins, two seconds, one-third) from six career starts. Neoequos is a bargain purchase ...
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Jeff's Grade 1 Arkansas Derby Preview |
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Jeff Hochman Mar 25, 2025 |
Grade 1 Arkansas Derby | Oaklawn Park | Race 13 | March 29
#1 Brereton’s Baytown (30/1), trained by Paul McEntee & ridden by Marshall Mendez
This well-traveled colt returns to Arkansas after finishing eighth in the Grade 2 Rebel Stakes at 188/1 odds. He has secured low-level wins at Charles Town and Laurel and will reunite with Ch ...
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Jeff's Grade 2 Louisiana Derby Preview |
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Jeff Hochman Mar 20, 2025 |
Grade 1 Louisiana Derby | Fair Grounds | Race 12 | March 22
#1 John Hancock (7/2), trained by Brad Cox & ridden by Flavien Prat
John Hancock enters the Louisiana Derby with a perfect record of two wins in his career, both at Tampa Bay Downs. This promising colt, sired by Constitution, recently won the Sam F. Davis Stakes (listed) ...
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Jeff's 2025 National League MLB Spotlight Team |
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Jeff Hochman Mar 10, 2025 |
Chicago Cubs Over 85.5 Wins
The Chicago Cubs starting rotation, which ranked 10th in the league with an ERA of 3.82 in 2024, remains intact and is bolstered by some impactful additions. Left-hander Shota Imanaga, who had an impressive 2.91 ERA last season, and Justin Steele, who finished with a 3.07 ERA, create one of the top left-handed duos in al ...
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Jeff's 2025 American League MLB Spotlight Team |
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Jeff Hochman Mar 9, 2025 |
Seattle Mariners Over 84.5 Season Wins
The Seattle Mariners have maintained continuity in their roster, returning 20 of the 26 players from their 2024 team, which finished with a record of 85-76 (49-32 at home and 36-45 on the road). This stability helps reduce early-season chemistry issues and allows hitters to build on their familiarity with the pitchers ...
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Jeff's Grade 1 Santa Anita Handicap Preview |
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Jeff Hochman Feb 27, 2025 |
Grade 1 Santa Anita Handicap | Santa Anita | Race 10 | March 1
#1 Express Train (10/1), trained by John shirreffs & ridden by Hector Berrios
Express Train is now eight years old and has earned $1,543,800 with a record of 24 starts, with seven wins, six places, and five shows. His last win was in the 2022 Santa Anita Handicap as th ...
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Jeff's 2025 Top 5 MLB Left-handed Starters Age 27 or Younger |
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Jeff Hochman Feb 24, 2025 |
Elite left-handed starting pitchers and prospects have a significant advantage because most players face right-handed pitching more often. This may seem obvious, but it’s an essential factor to consider. One strategy is to look for teams that haven’t faced a quality left-handed starter in five games or more; this can lead to profitable investment opportunities. Tarik Skubal has bee ...
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Jeff's Grade 2 Rebel Stakes Preview |
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Jeff Hochman Feb 20, 2025 |
Grade 2 Rebel Stakes | Oaklawn Park | Race 11 | Feb. 23
Top Win Contenders
#3 Sandman (4/1), trained by Mark Casse & ridden by Cristian Torres
Tapit sires this 3-year-old colt and has an impressive record of 6 races with two wins, 1-second place, and one-third place, earning a total of $ ...
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Jeff's Grade 3 Thunder Road Stakes Best Bet |
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Jeff Hochman Jan 30, 2025 |
Grade 3 Thunder Road Stakes | Santa Anita | Race 8 | Feb. 1
#9 Seal Team (5/2) to Win and Place
Seal Team finished third in the Grade 2 San Gabriel at Santa Anita on December 26th behind two talented horses in Johannes and Mi Hermano Ramon. Owns the field's fastest early, middle, and late-pace speed figures. He's project ...
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Jeff's Grade 1 Breeders Cup Sprint Preview & Pick |
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Jeff Hochman Oct 29, 2024 |
Grade 1 Breeders Cup Sprint | Race 10 | 7:05 PM E | $2,000,000
Del Mar Dirt Sprint Track Trends
Early-speed horses and "pressers" are the clear champions of 6 furlongs or less in dirt sprints. During the 2023-24 season, these frontrunners—those who set the pace or were within four lengths of the lead at the ¾ pole—captured ...
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Jeff's 2024-25 NHL Western Conference Spotlight Team |
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Jeff Hochman Sep 16, 2024 |
The 2024-25 NHL season begins on October 4th at the O2 Arena in Prague, Czechia. The North America slate starts on October 8th with a triple header on ESPN. Below is my 2024-25 NHL Western Conference Spotlight Team.
Jeff (JH-Sportsline) is an 8-time NHL handicapping champion at The Sports Monitor of OK and is considered one of the best NHL handicappers in ...
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Jeff's 2024-25 NHL Eastern Conference Spotlight Team |
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Jeff Hochman Sep 5, 2024 |
The 2024-25 NHL season begins on October 4th at the O2 Arena in Prague, Czechia. The North America slate starts on October 8th with a triple header on ESPN. Below is my 2024-25 NHL Eastern Conference Spotlight Team.
Jeff (JH-Sportsline) is an 8-time NHL handicapping champion at The Sports Monitor of OK and is considered one of the best NHL handicappers in ...
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Jeff's Grade 1 Travers Stakes Preview |
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Jeff Hochman Aug 19, 2024 |
Saratoga Race 13 | Travers Stakes | August 24 | 6:10 PM E
#1 Thorpeda Ana (3/1), trained by Kenny McPeek & ridden by Brian Hernandez Jr.
This 3-year-old filly by Fast Ana takes on the "boys" with a career record of six wins and one second-place finish in seven starts, earning $1,980,660. I get why her connections a ...
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Jeff's Grade 1 Del Mar Oaks Best Bet |
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Jeff Hochman Aug 15, 2024 |
Grade 1 Del Mar Oaks | August 17 | Race 8 | 5:30 PM PT
#1 Iscreamuscream (8/5), trained by Phil D’Amato & ridden by Hector Berrios
Iscreamuscream boasts an impressive unbeaten record, having won all three of her career starts, earning $189,600. Hector Berrios has been on board for all three wins. On July 20th, she ...
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Jeff's Grade 1 Alabama Stakes Preview |
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Jeff Hochman Aug 14, 2024 |
Grade 1 Alabama Stakes | August 17th | Race 10 | 5:43 PM E
#1 Intricate (6/1), trained by Brendan Walsh & ridden by Tyler Gaffalione
This 3-year-old filly by Gun Runner has a lifetime record of two wins, two second-place finishes, and one third-place finish in seven career starts, earning $465,180. Intricate is no ...
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Jeff's 2024 College Football Sun Belt Spotlight Team |
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Jeff Hochman Aug 13, 2024 |
Jeff’s 2024 College Football Sun Belt Spotlight Team | Texas State Bobcats
The Texas State Bobcats football team is set to start the 2024 season with high expectations and a positive outlook. Head coach G.J. Kinne has led the team to an 8-5 record in 2023, which included their first bowl win as an FBS program. Kinne, who has a 20-7 record in two sea ...
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Jeff's 2024 College Football MWC Spotlight Team |
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Jeff Hochman Aug 9, 2024 |
Jeff’s 2024 College Football MWC Spotlight Team | Boise State Broncos
The Boise State Broncos' quarterback situation for the 2024 NCAA football season is a topic of significant interest, with Malachi Nelson emerging as the top contender for the starting position. Nelson, a redshirt freshman transfer from USC, has attracted a considerable amount of ...
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Jeff's 2024-25 NFL Season Win Total Predictions for all 32 Teams |
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Jeff Hochman Aug 7, 2024 |
Jeff’s 2024-25 NFL Season Win Total Predictions for all 32 Teams
Our record last year was 15-16-1, including 1-2 on best bets. Two years ago, we went 18-12-2, including 1-2 on best bets. We should keep an eye on preseason injuries that could affect team performance. The numbers from last season represent total wins. (Odds provided by Mybookie.ag)
...
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Jeff's 2024 College Football ACC Spotlight Team |
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Jeff Hochman Aug 6, 2024 |
Jeff’s 2024 College Football ACC Spotlight Team | SMU Mustangs
I like SMU's over eight wins for several reasons. Let's start with the Mustangs' 11-win performance in the American Athletic Conference and winning the league title on their way out the door. Their schedule positions them for success in the ACC during their first year in the conference. S ...
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Jeff's 2024 College Football Big 12 Spotlight Team |
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Jeff Hochman Aug 5, 2024 |
Jeff’s 2024 College Football Big 12 Spotlight Team | Iowa State Cyclones
As he enters his ninth season, head coach Matt Campbell (53-48 SU & 54-40 ATS) brings a wealth of experience and a proven track record to lead Iowa State this season. The team's success rests on his stability and leadership. Iowa State boasts an impressive 85% return of its pr ...
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Jeff's 2024 College Football Big 10 Spotlight Team |
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Jeff Hochman Aug 2, 2024 |
Jeff’s 2024 College Football Big 10 Spotlight Team | Nebraska Cornhuskers
In his first year with Nebraska in 2023, Matt Rhule guided the Cornhuskers to a 5-7 record, which tied for the program's most victories in seven seasons. Under his leadership, Nebraska significantly improved in several areas, including rushing defense, total defense, and spec ...
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Jeff's 2024 College Football SEC Spotlight Team |
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Jeff Hochman Jul 29, 2024 |
Jeff’s 2024 College Football SEC Spotlight Team | Ole Miss Rebels
Ole Miss, a team with a rich history of football prowess, is bringing back key players such as quarterback Jaxson Dart, wide receivers Tre Harris and Jordan Watkins, and defensive linemen J.J. Pegues and Jared Ivey. The Rebels have a solid foundation to build upon, with 13 returning starters ...
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Jeff's Grade 2 Jim Dandy Stakes Preview |
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Jeff Hochman Jul 25, 2024 |
Saratoga | Race 10 | Grade 2 Jim Dandy Stakes | 5:43 PM ET | July 27th
#1 Sierra Leone (1/1), trained by Chad Brown & ridden by Flavien Prat
This impressive 3-year-old horse, sired by Gun Runner, has a career record of 6 starts, 3 first-place finishes, 2 second-place finishes, and one third-place finish, with total ...
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