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Articles by Tony Acosta

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  18 articles found
Inside the Game – Misleading Final Scores
Tony Acosta Oct 3, 2016  
While the scoreboard tells us who won and lost, it is important to look inside the game to see if there were any misleading final scores. We break down Week 5 in college football here.

UCF 47 East Carolina 29

Make it three straight games for the Pirates which played better than the final score showed. East Carolina outgained the Knights 521-373 but was done in by five turn ...  read more

Fading Tired Home NBA Teams
Tony Acosta Jan 7, 2016  
Posted by Anthony Acosta.

One of the more common betting strategies discussed by NBA bettors involves the role of fatigue — specifically the impact of playing in back-to-back games. Many bettors believe that oddsmakers overvalue the significance of playing on consecutive nights, while others claim that back-to-back games are only detrimental to a team if they’re playing on the road due ...  read more
Tips for a Winning Bowl Season
Tony Acosta Dec 9, 2015  
Handicapping college bowl games is very different from handicapping regular season college games. These games are played at neutral sites by teams that have not faced each other in several years, if ever. Bowl games feature teams from different conferences making it very difficult to get a read on who has played a better schedule. Coaching Factor Bowl teams have a break of several weeks betwe ...  read more
80-20 NFL Betting System
Tony Acosta Oct 26, 2015  
Revisiting an oldie but goodie

Although we constantly talk about the value of betting against the public, one of the most popular strategies for bettors is the 80-20 betting system. In the past we've discussed how bettors can win at a 57.1% rate by fading large public favorites, but we had not analyzed this system in years and wanted to know whether a more-informed betting public had im ...  read more
NFL Season Win Totals: Cincinnati Bengals
Tony Acosta Aug 31, 2015  
The Cincinnati Bengals have been a strong regular season team but have had their problems in the playoffs. The Bengals finished last regular season with a record of 10-5-1. The oddsmakers have set this year's win total at 8.5 for the Bengals. This is an interesting line because the Bengals bring back pretty much the same team from last season. The Bengals have also had at least 9 regular seasons f ...  read more
Tony Acosta's NFC East Preview
Tony Acosta Aug 27, 2015  
The NFL regular season is here. I would like to give you a quick look at the NFC East.

The Dallas Cowboys finished last season 13-5 SU and 10-8 ATS. The Cowboys have really improved their depth at the linebacker position for this upcoming season and with Sean Lee returning from an ACL injury they should be solid at the LB position. Dallas also used 5 of their first 6 picks on the defensive ...  read more

Anthony Acosta's ACC College Football Preview
Tony Acosta Aug 20, 2015  
We are all excited to see the college football season quickly approaching. I would like to take some time and give a quick look at the ACC. I'm expecting Clemson and Florida State to finish at the top of the Atlantic division. The Coastal division should see Duke and UNC at the top. Clemson has some solid offensive power behind quarterback Deshaun Watson which should catapult them to compete for t ...  read more
Best Advice: Always Follow the Sharp Money
Tony Acosta Aug 19, 2015  
As all my long term clients know I’m the head of a Off-shore Betting Syndicate, and I live out here in Las Vegas – So I’m constantly around all the wise guys that make a living wagering on sporting events on a year round basis. Thus I have inside information on where all the sharp money is discreetly coming in on a game. These sharps know things about a game that the public only wishes they had. ...  read more
Air Force Falcons Preview
Tony Acosta Jul 23, 2015  
Air Force Falcons

2014 Results: 10-3 SU; 8-5 ATS; 4th MWC Mountain Division

2014 was a big season for Air Force not only because it was successful but it was because the Falcons needed to be successful for the sake of the program. Coming off a 2-10 season in 2013, another bad season could have been detrimental to the program going forward for years to come. Instead, the Falcons didn't ...  read more

Baseball Betting - Favorites vs Dogs - Who to bet this season
Tony Acosta Jun 20, 2015  
There are many ways to bet baseball from tracking hot streaks, to pitching matchups, to betting favorites. In this article I'd like to turn your attention to betting underdogs. The table below shows this seasons betting performances in the American League. If you blindly bet underdogs thus far you would be cashing in on 9 of the 15 teams. The most profitable being the Texas Rangers at 31-17 as ...  read more
Vegas Says Warriors the Favorite in NBA Finals
Tony Acosta Jun 2, 2015  
Game 1 of the NBA Finals is just around the corner as the Golden State Warriors host the Cleveland Cavaliers to get things started. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook has the Warriors listed at 5-12 odds to win it all, while the Cavaliers are listed as 2-1 to win it all. Jeff Sherman the head NBA oddsmaker for the SuperBook explained to ESPN "We take who would be the favorite in each game, by how ma ...  read more
Free MLB Total in the Tigers versus Indians game
Tony Acosta Apr 10, 2015  
The Tigers haven't needed much help from the bullpen so far. David Price went 8 2-3 innings in an opening-day shutout of Minnesota, Anibal Sanchez went 6 2-3 in an 11-0 victory Wednesday and Shane Greene allowed an unearned run over eight Thursday in a 7-1 win. Detroit hopes Alfredo Simon (15-10, 3.44) can continue their streak of strong starts. An All-Star last season with Cincinnati, Simon was t ...  read more
Preview of Michigan State verses Duke - Saturday, March 4, 2015
Tony Acosta Apr 4, 2015  
Michigan State is led by Travis Trice (15.3 points, 3.2 rebounds, 5.1 assists) and Danzel Valentine (14.3 points, 6.2 rebounds, 4.4 assists). The Spartans are averaging 71.4 points on 46.7% shooting and average 7.6 three-pointers per game with an assist/turnover ratio of 1.49 . Michigan State is holding their opponents to an average of 63.2 points on 39.3% shooting. The Spartans pull down 37.5 to ...  read more
WGC-Cadillac Championship Preview and Picks
Tony Acosta Mar 3, 2015  
Padraig Harrington defeated Daniel Berger in a playoff at the Honda Classic that ended up being a Monday finish due to weather to claim his first win since 2008. The tour continues on the Florida swing, heading to Doral this week for the WGC-Cadillac Championship. This is the second straight event that features a star-studded field with close to the entire top 50 in the world playing. With the Mat ...  read more
Northern Trust Open Preview and Picks
Tony Acosta Feb 18, 2015  
We were able to cash another winner last week as Brandt Snedeker got back into the winners circle at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am, his second win there in three years. He is now qualified for the Masters which was a huge goal but despite playing well, winning again this week is a longshot. Injuries took a big hit on Snedeker the last couple years so it is a great sight to see him back to playing i ...  read more
Super Bowl XLIX - Déjà Vu Act XVII
Tony Acosta Jan 30, 2015  
The Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots have played 16 times before and are deadlocked at 8-8. This matchup will be without a doubt be the biggest and most meaningful of the 17. The Seahawks are the defending Super Bowl champions and are ironically looking to become the first back-to-back winners since these Patriots won two straight in 2003 and 2004. The New England duo of head c ...  read more
Why Dallas Lost to Green Bay - Why Seattle will Win
Tony Acosta Jan 13, 2015  
Another NFC Championship for Seattle this Sunday is on the horizon as they face the Green Bay Packers, who beat Dallas on Sunday, with a controversial call on a fourth down catch by Dez Bryant that was over ruled not a catch, that has all the national media and sports talk shows arguing whether or not the play should have been allowed as called and how it affected the outcome of the game. It has ...  read more
Odds and Ends for the First CFP National Championship Game
Tony Acosta Jan 12, 2015  
Odds and Ends for the First CFP National Championship Game by Tony Acosta Most of the Big Money bettors here in the Desert like the Ohio State Buckeyes plus the touchdown in the CFP National Championship Game to be played Monday night January 12. The Point Spread The Ohio Buckeyes in a rare underdog roll have drawn substantial action from sharp money bettors prompting a number of the Ve ...  read more

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