Sunday, October 06, 2024 Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos (NFL) - 4:05 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Money Line: -155 Denver Broncos Rating: 9* Mike's AFC Rivalry Game of the Week This one could ALSO be labeled UGLY PIG Game of the Week. But seriously, DC Vance Joseph has his 3-4 base defensive scheme humming as that SAME Broncos "D" has yielded 9.7 PPG over their last 3 & rank 3rd in passing defense & 2nd in total defensive on the season. They're fresh off recording 5 sacks against a NY Jets squad that failed to sack Denver rookie QB Bo Nix once. They take on a Las Vegas group (1-3 In The Stats) that's still in search for an identity in a season that's just surviving @ 2-2 SU. They're off a 20-16 home win over lowly Cleveland but have yet to put together 2 good games thus far. QB Gardner Minshew is back under center for an offense that has a big void to fill in the running back category ranking 31st on the ground (76 YPG) & has his key receiver/deep threat WR Davante Adams asking for a trade (unlikely to dress here). Even with a full arsenal, the Silver & Black offense has registered over 300 total yards just once. I further feel The Broncos offense should have some success considering the Raiders main cog on defense DE Maxx Crosby is either out or playing hurt. With HIM in, they only rank 30th in defensive yards per rush. The Orange & Blue have momentum coming in off 2 consecutive upset wins over Tampa Bay & the New York Jets. My bottom line says it's hard to back HC Antonio Pierce's entry without their best players on both sides of the ball not in & @ 100%. The key advantage here is the PROTECTION Bo Nix is getting that ranks 1st in the league. It should only take game-managed execution by Nix & watch the "D" do their job. We'll definitely roll into Empower Field @ Mile High to play the DENVER BRONCOS on the MONEYLINE @ -157 for 9 Stars (WIN) +900 as my AFC Rivalry Game of the Week! Here's my game-winning props that should be played higher per stars based on early consistency. For the Las Vegas @ Denver game, play a 3-Team Parlay on DENVER-ML with Denver FG's Made OVER 1 1/2 with LAS VEGAS UNDER Team Total of 16 1/2 @ +235 odds for 5 Stars (LOSS) -500 ALSO a 3-Team Prop Parlay on Dallas' Jake Ferguson OVER 3 1/2 Receptions with Dallas RB Rico Dowdle UNDER 54 1/2 Rushing Yards with Green Bay RB Josh Jacobs OVER 44 1/2 Rushing Yards @ -112 odds for 8 Stars (LOSS) -896 ALSO a 5-Teamer on Tampa Bay + 11 1/2 with Cincinnati + 11 1/2 with Jacksonville + 7 1/2 with Denver + 10 with New England +13 1/2 @ +108 odds for 7 Stars.(WIN) +756 ALSO a 3-Teamer on Cincinnati RB Zach Moss UNDER 54 1/2 Rushing Yards with Buffalo + 10 with Buffalo RB James Cook OVER 44 1/2 Rushing Yards @ -130 for 7 Stars (WIN) +700 Play a single play on TOTAL FG's MADE by Denver- OVER 1/2 @ -129 odds for 12 Stars. (WIN) + 1,200 Play a Moneyline Single Play on the WASHINGTON COMMANDERS @ -180 for 7 Stars. (+700) Lastly, Play a 6-Team Parlay on Cincinnati +4, Buffalo/Houston OVER 35, Buffalo + 3 1/2, Arizona + 11 1/2, Denver -3 & Chicago +3 @ +1010 odds for 3 Stars. (WIN) +3,030 We're drawing the LINE in Week 5! Monday, October 6, 2024 New Orleans Saints vs Kansas City Chiefs (NFL) - 8:20 PM EDT Premium Pick There's 1 solid play to make in this game that's been pretty consistent this season (except for last game). This is WHY I believe K Harrison Butker (averages 2 made FG's thus far) will get more FG opportunities in a prime-timer in front of a juiced home crowd against a decent Saints' "D". We're going to BANK & play on HARRISON BUTKER OVER 1 1/2 FG'S @ -142 for 10 Stars @ Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City! (WIN) +1000 Mike Handzelek's 2024-25 NFL Overall Record: 15-14 for 52% -3,348 Net Units