Monday, January 02, 2023 Utah vs. Penn State (NCAAF) - 5:00 PM EST Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: +1/-110 Penn State Rating: 10* Mike's 12 Star College Bowl Play of the Year (DOUBLE WIN GOY) (BIG ML DOG WIN) Before we get into it, let's remember you have to play the right team & @ the right line to win consistently over the long run. You must do it @ a 60% or better clip. Utah is no stranger to the Rose Bowl as they got nipped 48-45 by Ohio State last year. Yes, Utah QB Cam Rising (2,939 passing yards with a 25/7 TD/INT ratio) gets another chance (got injured in the 4th quarter LY) in front of a lot of his high school buddies as he played for the Newbury Park HS Panthers in Ventura County which is less than an hour from the San Gabriel Mountains & Pasadena. What people don't realize is that Nittany Lions QB Sean Clifford (2,543 passing yards with a 22/7 TD/INT ratio) is a seasoned veteran in his 6th season & performed well against a tough schedule where he only came up short versus the 2nd & 4th-ranked teams like Michigan & Ohio State. I feel PSU is the more excited team making their 1st trip back to the Rose Bowl since 16' when they lost a nail-biter to USC 52-49 as 7-point dogs. The big determining factor for me here is the Utes have their best RB in Tavion Thomas & WR in Dalton Kincaid opting out for this game. A bigger blow for the Utes has to be missing the opt-outed All-American CB Clark Phillips (tied for 2nd nationally with 6 INT's). These key opt outs have been a post-season contributing factor as HC Kyle Whittingham's squad is now 0-3 SU their last 3 bowls while also losing to Texas 38-10 in 19's Alamo Bowl & losing to Northwestern 31-20 in 18's Holiday Bowl. It's tough to back a team that gives up an average of 39 PPG in bowls without their best RB & WR. My bottom line says the best & deepest unit on the field here is the Nittany Lions' defense where they give up a stingy 3.2 YPC on the ground. Let's look @ some key systems. For a team who returns to the same bowl that they lost SU a year previously (Utah) & are coming in off back-to-back SU & ATS wins, the past 42 seasons have seen these specific teams go a ML ticket-ripping 5-9 SU & a no-show-@-the-window 4-10 ATS. Keeping that same thought of coming off back-to-back SU & ATS wins, it is Penn State whose a near-perfect 17-1 ATS their last 18 & a window-paybacking 16-3 SU their last 19 in that role. Here's the dagger! Coming into this bowl season, PAC-12 teams when facing an opponent coming in off a SU win have gone a no-show 1-23 versus the number. How have these teams done versus winning teams? Utah is just 1-4 their last 5 while PSU chimes in @ a convincing 5-1 their last 6 in those roles. We're high-steppin' it to the Rose Bowl in Pasadena to play the PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS (buying to + 3 1/2) with a mucho dinero supply of pasta on the ML as my 12 Star College Bowl Play of the Year! Saturday, December 31, 2022 Ohio State vs. Georgia (NCAAF) - 8:00 PM EST Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: +6/-115 Ohio State Rating: 10* Mike's 10 Star CFB Semi-Final Smart Play (WIN) Many are counting out the Buckeyes since RB Treyvon Henderson & WR Jaxson Smith-Njigba are ruled out. The line & the action is an over-reaction to the Buckeyes' loss to Michigan earlier. There's still a lot of offensive firepower left with QB CJ Stroud (3,340 passing yards & a 37/6 TD/INT ratio) hitting a few more 1,000-yd WR's like Marvin Harrison , Jr. (12 TD's) & Emekga Egbuka ( TD's). Remember, the last 10 years there were 10 times Ohio State was installed as underdogs & they came out with 8 OUTRIGHT wins! If we look @ OSU as underdogs of more than 3, they are a take-me-back-to-the-window 14-1 spreadwise. Sure, Georgia's Stetson Bennett has compatible stats (3,704 passing yards, 24/6 TD/INT ratio). But his Junkyard Dawgs had to replace 15 players left for the NFL draft. Sure there were many blowout wins. There was also a Missouri game where trailed going into the 4th before pulling out a slim 26-22 win. Both are similar in YPP (Yards Per Point) margin where OSU is 1st & Georgia 3rd. As far as offensive YPG is concerned, the Bulldogs are # 1 while the Buckeyes are #2. In defensive YPG, Georgia only bests Ohio State by 12 yards. My bottom line says there certain things you just CAN'T ignore. For instance, in the 5 times the reigning champ has returned to the CFB Playoff, NONE of them have repeated. Strangely enough, the past 4 who have lost were by a margin of 15 or more. The line BEGS you to take the Bulldogs since the past 2 games @ this venue saw them win by a combined 99-30 score. However, Buckeyes' HC Ryan day is far from a slouch going 45-5 SU overall & 7-4 SU versus undefeated teams. The dagger for us looks @ a system that states: Play against a squad who won & covered in their conference title game if facing a club coming off a SU favorite loss. The past 14 seasons, this system has gone 10-0 SU & 9-1 ATS! Let's roll into the Fiesta Bowl CFB Semi-Final @ State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ to take the OHIO STATE BUCKEYES (buying to + 7 1/2) with generous pasta on the ML as my 10 Star Smart Play! Mike Handzeek's 2022-23 CFB Overall Record: 45-24 for 65% Finishing 1st in CFB Winning % @ VTD Mike's CFB Bowl Record: 7-3 for a ruling 70%
 

Sniper Wes - Sniper Wes 30-day ALL SPORTS PASS Are you tired of sitting on the sidelines while others cash in on their sports bets? Sniper Wes is here to help you with his unparalleled advice that's designed to HELP YOU WIN! His 30-day all sports subscription is perfect for getting a month of plays to get started with the action. He has a PROVEN track record in MULTIPLE sports that comes from years of experience analyzing odds and trends. This expert is ready to share his insights WITH YOU! Invest in your success. Invest with one of the best. GUARANTEED TO WIN or you get another 30-day subscription FREE!

Click here to view all of today's premium picks.