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Home / Articles / Mike Handzelek's CFB Week 7 Analysis/Review

Mike Handzelek's CFB Week 7 Analysis/Review

By: Point Shaver Handzelek     Date: Oct 17, 2023
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Saturday, October 14, 2023 Florida vs. South Carolina (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 0/-110 South Carolina Rating: 8* Mike's CFB SEC Game of the Week (WIN off the buy) On the surface it may SEEM like Florida (4-1) is the way to go over South Carolina (2-3). However, some games aren't what they seem to be. Yes, the Gators hold the series edge 30-10-3 & pummeled the Gamecocks 38-6 @ Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville for HC Bill Napier's inaugural season @ the helm after coaching 4 seasons @ Sun Belt Conference entry Louisiana. I believe HC Shane Beamer's squad has significantly faced the tougher schedule & it's shown in their record after facing North Carolina, Mississippi State as well as SEC East kingpins Tennessee & National Champion/#1 Georgia. Meanwhile, Florida has faced some cream puffs versus the likes of FCS Southland Conference entry McNeese State, Charlotte & Vanderbilt who have a combined record of 3-15. Florida has been quite a different team on the road this season going 0-2 SU scoring just 11 points @ Utah & 14 @ Kentucky. This series has seen the home team win 6 out of the last 7 SU. I like the matchup here between Gamecocks' 5th season Senior QB Spencer Rattler (spent 3 seasons @ Oklahoma) who has a decent 7/3 TD/INT ratio after facing a very tough schedule (still ranking in the top 20 in passing @ 286 YPG). He'll face a Florida defense that ranks last in the SEC in both sacks (also 105th in the nation of 133) & interceptions. WR Xavier Leggette (606 receiving yards & 3 TD's) & RB Mario Anderson (5.2 YPR) should make a dent in a Florida "D" that allowed 6.6 YPC in their losses on the road this season. My bottom line looks @ many factors ALL in our favor. The Gamecocks come in BOTH with double-revenge & have homecoming versus the Gators. It's hard to trust opposing QB Graham Mertz whose performed miserably on the road. Florida HC Napier comes in with a 1-6 SU since coming there & has a GIGANTIC revenge game with #1 Georgia (lost 42-20 last season) on-deck in Jacksonville in the "Worlds Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party" (held since 1933) @ EverBank Stadium. Looking DEEP into the numbers revel the real DAGGER for us which looks @ how the "Alligator Chops" do when coming off a SU win PLUS playing a team whose off a SU loss. In this given situation, Napier's bunch have a ticket-ripping 0-12 ATS record. Here's where we'll play this. get ready to jet down to the natural grass @ Williams-Brice Stadium in Columbia to play 8 Stars on the SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS (buying to + 3 1/2 @ -190) as my CFB SEC Game of the Week! Mike Handzelek's 2023-24 CFB Overall Seasonal Record: 8-2 for 80% + 2,650 units
 


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