Last season, the Tennessee Titans faced significant challenges against the spread, finishing with a record of 2-15 while winning only three games overall. Everything will be different this season.


Rookie quarterback Cam Ward, selected with the first overall pick, is the most significant catalyst for Tennessee's improvement. He has consistently improved throughout his football career and looks terrific in camp. Ward brings exceptional accuracy and pocket presence that fit perfectly with head coach Brian Callahan's West Coast offensive system. Ward's ability to escape will turn third-and-six situations into first downs. The quarterback is already taking the majority of first-team reps in training camp, positioning him to start from Week 1. The Titans benefit from having the fourth-easiest schedule in the NFL.


The Titans invested in protecting their rookie quarterback by signing left tackle Dan Moore Jr. to a four-year, $82 million contract and adding veteran guard Kevin Zeitler. With returning players Lloyd Cushenberry, Peter Skoronski, and JC Latham, the offensive line could become a team strength in 2025. Defensive coordinator Dennard Wilson enters his second season with valuable experience and new personnel additions. The defense finished second in total yards allowed last season despite ranking 22nd overall, suggesting underlying potential that wasn't reflected in points allowed due to poor offensive field position and turnovers.


Ward's immediate impact, the league's fourth-easiest schedule, improved offensive line play, and AFC South instability suggest the Titans could achieve 8-9 wins. If Ward becomes the franchise quarterback and the defense improves under Wilson, Tennessee might surprise the NFL by competing for its first division title since 2021. My model has the Titans reaching 6 wins in a whopping 59% of simulations, which compares to the Cowboys' Under 10.5 last season.


Jeff’s Best Bet: Tennessee Titans Over 5.5 wins -145


Jeff’s Best Bet: Tennessee Titans Win AFC South +750