Free Sports Game Preview and Prediction: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors
Friday, January 06, 2017 10:30 PM
Play: Total: 215.0/-110 Over
Free Pick on Grizzlies/Warriors OVER These two teams played back on 12/10 and the Grizzlies prevailed 110-89. It's one of just 5 losses all season for Golden State. I believe the fact that game ended up with just 199 combined points and going under the total of 211.5, has created some value here with the total in the rematch. For starters, the OVER is 50-20 (71%) over the last 5 seasons when you have a total of 210 or more with a home team revenging a road blowout loss of 20 or more. Memphis is a team that is thought of as a defensive force, but it's been the opposite of late. The Grizzlies are averaging 107.4 ppg over their last 5 and have scored 100+ in each of their last 7. The big key here is the defense just isn't the same on the road. Memphis is allowing just 98.6 ppg on the season, but giving up 103.7 ppg on the road. This isn't a great spot for the Grizzlies, who will be playing their 4th straight road game over the last 7 days and their 6th road game in their last 7 games overall. Warriors are averaging 121.4 ppg at home this season, while giving up 105.6 ppg. Given what happened in the first meeting with the Grizzlies, I look for Golden State to come out looking to put on a show offensively and send this one well over the mark. Take the OVER!
 

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