Free Sports Game Preview and Prediction: Louisville vs. Kentucky
Saturday, November 25, 2017 12:00 PM
Play: Total: 68.5/-110 Under
Ryan’s proven SIM Algorithm has identified a 10 star DOG that is projected to cover and has a great shot at the upset win that we guarantee will be headline news on Sports Center. As you can imagine, his research report is filled with a ton of facts and advanced analytics illustrating why this is a 10 star maximum play. The 10 star play hits at over 70% ATS and is the single strongest play produced by his proven SIM Algorithm program.
The Play and How to Play it:
The Play: ‘UNDER’ Louisville - Kentucky
The Matchup: LOUISVILLE (7 - 4) at KENTUCKY (7 - 4)
Start Time: Week 13 Saturday, 11/25/2017 12:00 PM
SIM grading: 3 stars
Recommended Strategy: Place a 3 star amount playing the ‘UNDER’.
SIM projects that fewer than 65 points will be scored in this game. 77% probability that fewer than 62 points will scored.
Round Table Discussion Points
Both teams are at 7-4, but Louisville is the better team and finds themselves installed as 10 point road favorites. This is in part due to the public sentiment that Louisville will want to put a big loss on the Wild Cats after losing to them last season as 28 ½ point favorites. We don’t read too much into that revenge factor as Louisville hurt themselves in all aspects of that game last year.
What we see is the reality of two dominating rushing offenses facing off in a state rivalry game. With Jackson at the helm, Louisville will throw the ball more often, but the featured play will be Jackson horizontally stretching the Kentucky defense and steadily wearing down the defensive front over the course of the game. SIM projects that there will be more than 85 rushing plays executed y both teams and this will keep the clock running.
Last season, there were 43 Kentucky rushing plays and 46 Louisville rushing plays.
Kentucky has gone ‘over’ in four straight games, has had more than 850 rushing yards in their last four games and now face an opponent averaging more than 230 rushing yards per game. The ‘Under’ in this situation has hit 65% winners playing the ‘under’ with a 36-19 mark.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics
Louisville is a solid 18-6 UNDER (+11.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points.
Methodologies and Subscriptions
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