Free Sports Game Preview and Prediction: Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Sunday, November 08, 2020 4:05 PM
Play: Total: 53/-105 Under
Las Vegas Raiders vs. San Diego Chargers
4:05 ET, November 8, 2020
A pair of AFC West teams square off SoFi Stadium when the Las Vegas Raiders are guests of the San Diego Chargers. Las Vegas is 4-3 and sits in 8th place in the AFC West playoff picture. They are tied with the Miami Dolphins but own the tie-breaker based on the strength of victory. So, a win over 2-5 San Diego is another forward step to securing a playoff berth.
The line opened with San Diego installed as a 2.5-point home favorite. The market saw this as a golden opportunity to back the Raiders, moving the line to the current pick-em level. Las Vegas accounts for 56% of the bets placed and 67% of the money bet.
The total opened at 52.5 points and has slid lower to a current price of 51.5 points. The betting flows show the ‘OVER’ accounting for 68% of the bets placed, but just 24% of the money. When the number of bets is above 60%, and the amount of money below 40% reflects the professional larger-sized stakes are on the ‘UNDER’.
Betting systems can enlighten us by targeting games to bet on based on any team's current and most recent performance trends. This system has earned a 58-22 ‘UNDER’ mark, good for 70% winning bets since 2015. The system consists of three simple parameters.
1. Bet the ‘UNDER’ with a total of 49.5 o more points.
2. The game involves two teams that have a yards-per-play differential between -0.4 and 0.4 yards-per-play.
3. The matchup is a divisional rivalry
Take the ‘UNDER’ as a 3% Betting opportunity.
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