Free Sports Game Preview and Prediction: Harvard vs. St Johns
Tuesday, December 23, 2025 6:00 PM
Play: Point Spread: -26.5/-110 St Johns
Green Bay’s jump in underlying efficiency under Doug Gottlieb is real; last season they sat near the bottom of Division I in KenPom with a double-digit negative efficiency margin, but this year they have climbed toward the mid-major middle, driven by a more coherent halfcourt offense, lower turnover rate (around 11 turnovers per game), and improved rebounding. They showed that ceiling by taking Minnesota to overtime on the road and just beat a solid UC Santa Barbara group, which signals that the Phoenix can travel and compete physically with bigger, more athletic rosters. Offensively, Green Bay’s spacing and heavier ball-screen usage give them a path to attack Campbell’s soft perimeter defense, which allows opponents to shoot roughly 46% from the field and over 34% from three. Campbell’s record looks fine at 5-7, but the context is troubling: in step-up games against Wisconsin, West Virginia, Wake Forest, Penn State, Gonzaga, and Minnesota, the Camels lost by an average margin in the mid-20s, showing how badly their scheme and personnel can crack against more organized offenses. Campbell's D ranks bottom 40 nationally. Green Bay’s improved defensive rebounding and willingness to sit in the halfcourt rather than press or gamble means they can force longer Campbell possessions, and longer trips plus a turnover-prone offense often translate into empty trips that keep the game within two or three possessions. With Green Bay’s upward trend, Campbell’s defensive and turnover problems, and the tempo and scheme matchups all leaning toward a competitive game, take the points with the Phoenix.