Free Sports Game Preview and Prediction: Green Bay Packers vs. Atlanta Falcons
Sunday, January 22, 2017 3:05 PM
Play: Point Spread: -6.0/-105 Atlanta Falcons
Free Pick on Falcons - The betting public is all over Green Bay in this one, yet we have seen this line jump from Atlanta -4.5 to -6. That’s a clear indicator the sharp money is on the Falcons. I’ll admit it’s not easy going against Rodgers with the way he’s playing right now. The thing is, Ryan has been playing at an elite level all season and would get my vote for MVP. He was sensational against the Seahawks, completing 26 of 37 for 338 yards with 3 touchdowns. I know that Seattle secondary was minus Earl Thomas, but it’s still better than what Green Bay will send out. As for Green Bay’s offense, they will have the services of Jordy Nelson (probable). However, I just don't think he's going to make a big impact in this one. I also don't think the Packers lack of a running game is going to keep holding up. As good as the offense looked last week, they had 245 yards on their first 3 possessions. All 3 touchdowns. From that point on they managed just 169 yards, allowing the Cowboys to erase a big deficit. Let’s also not overlook that’s a bad Dallas defense who can’t put pressure on the quarterback. Atlanta’s defense isn’t great, but they do have an elite pass rusher in Vic Beasley. We also have a strong system backing a fade of the Packers. Road underdogs off an upset win are just 65-111 (37%) ATS since 1983 in the 2nd half of the season in a matchup of two teams with winning records. Take Atlanta!
 

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