As the Mountain West Championship unfolds in Week 15 of the 2025 regular season, the UNLV Runnin' Rebels prepare to take on the Boise State Broncos. Hosted at the outdoor Albertsons Stadium in Boise, ID, this night game is set for Friday, December 5th, 2025, at 8:00 PM and will be broadcast on FOX. Both teams share a conference record of 6-2, making this matchup pivotal in determining the conference champion. The UNLV Runnin' Rebels have demonstrated strong performance this season, boasting a 10-2 overall record with impressive road victories, including a recent 42-17 win against Nevada Wolf Pack. Their offensive strength is reflected in their consistent scoring, as evidenced by their high passing and rushing yardage in recent games. As they enter the championship, UNLV will look to capitalize on their momentum and maintain their winning streak on the road. On the other side, the Boise State Broncos hold an 8-4 overall record and have shown resilience at home with a 5-1 record. Coming off a narrow 25-24 victory over Utah State, the Broncos have displayed their ability to secure wins in tight situations. With the home-field advantage, Boise State will aim to leverage their defensive strengths to halt UNLV's offensive strategies and claim the Mountain West title. The Boise State Broncos are entering this game with an offensive unit ranked 36th in points for the season, amassing 370 points. Their passing game has been moderate, ranked 54th with 2,887 yards. However, their rushing attack, accumulating 2,294 yards, sits at an impressive 31st place, showcasing their strong ground game capabilities. The team has been efficient in moving the chains, ranking 20th in first downs with 273. This suggests that their offensive strategy focuses on consistent progression down the field. With such statistics, the Broncos' offense will be a key factor in their upcoming performance. Boise State's defense has encountered challenges, allowing 278 points, which places them 94th in points against. Despite this, their defensive line has been effective in putting pressure on the quarterback, recording 21 sacks, ranked 21st. Their secondary has been quite opportunistic with 14 interceptions, ranking 15th in this category. Moreover, the Broncos have demonstrated a knack for recovering fumbles, ranking 7th with seven recoveries. This ability to force turnovers could prove critical in turning the tide of the game. The defensive performance will need to tighten up to support their offensive efforts. In their latest outing, Boise State secured a narrow 25-24 victory against Utah State. Their passing game was in full swing, putting up 341 yards against the Aggies. On the ground, they managed 171 rushing yards, reflecting a balanced offensive approach. Prior to that, the Broncos dismantled Colorado State with a 49-21 scoreline. This game showcased their rushing prowess, as they amassed 280 yards, while also maintaining a solid defensive stance by intercepting three passes. Boise State is dealing with a few injury concerns. Notably, Maddux Madsen, their quarterback, is questionable with an ankle injury. Wide receiver Ben Ford is out for the remainder of the season, which might impact their aerial attack. The defensive line is also affected with Dion Washington and Sterling Lane II listed as questionable. Managing these injuries will be crucial for the Broncos to maintain their momentum as the season progresses. The UNLV Runnin' Rebels have had an impressive season so far, standing out as a team with a powerful offense. With a total of 446 points scored, they are ranked 12th in the nation, showcasing their ability to find the end zone consistently. In the passing department, the Rebels have amassed 3,103 yards, placing them 34th overall. Their rushing game is also strong, with 2,473 yards earning them a 17th-place ranking, indicating a balanced offensive approach. Defensively, UNLV has had some struggles, particularly in containing opposing offenses. They have allowed 337 points, placing them 122nd in the national rankings, which highlights a significant area for improvement. However, their ability to generate turnovers is noteworthy, with 13 interceptions and 8 fumbles recovered, both ranking 14th and 6th respectively. This opportunistic defense has been key in securing several of their wins this season. Quarterback Anthony Colandrea has been a standout player, ranking 21st nationally with 3,050 passing yards. His 22 touchdown passes further underscore his importance to the team's offensive success. Running back Jai'Den Thomas has been another vital component, rushing for 944 yards and scoring 12 touchdowns. His performance on the ground is complemented by his ability to catch the ball, adding 207 receiving yards to his impressive stat line. UNLV's recent games have shown their offensive capabilities, highlighted by a dominant 42-17 victory over Nevada. In that game, they gained 270 passing yards and 228 rushing yards, demonstrating their offensive balance. Against Hawaii, the Rebels secured a convincing 38-10 win, where they notched 253 passing yards and 217 rushing yards. Their ability to control the game with both the air and ground attacks has been a recurring theme this season. The Rebels are dealing with several injuries that could impact their performance. Key players like Jordan Eubanks, Alex Orji, and Ed Haynes are out for the season, which could challenge their depth. Additionally, Var’Keyes Gumms and Cameron Friel are questionable, adding uncertainty to their lineup. Managing these injuries will be crucial for UNLV as they aim to maintain their competitive edge. Boise State enters this Mountain West Championship game as the -3.5 favorite. The Broncos have a strong home record, going 5-1 this season, and a remarkable 17-1 in their last 18 home games. Their consistent home performance makes them a solid choice to cover the spread. Looking at their head-to-head history, Boise State has dominated the matchup, winning the last four games against UNLV, including a 56-31 victory earlier this season. This history of success against the Rebels adds to their confidence in this championship setting. UNLV boasts a strong 10-2 record with a solid 5-1 road performance this season. However, Boise State's ability to perform as a favorite, evidenced by their 25-2 straight-up record in the last 27 games as favorites, is a compelling factor for taking them to cover the spread. Considering Boise State's home advantage, historical success against UNLV, and their impressive record as favorites, the prediction is for Boise State to win and cover the -3.5 spread. A projected final score of Boise State 38 - UNLV 28 supports this pick.Boise State vs UNLV At a Glance
Boise State Broncos Gear Up for Another Crucial Game
Offensive Dynamics
Defensive Overview
Recent Game Performances
Key Injuries
Team Betting Trends
UNLV Runnin' Rebels Set to Challenge as Away Underdogs
Team Overview
Defensive Performance
Key Players to Watch
Recent Game Performances
Injury Report
Betting Trends
Boise State vs UNLV Prediction: Boise State -3.5
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