The beauty of baseball is its unpredictability, yet certain matchups just seem to scream opportunity. Such is the case with Ryan Mountcastle when he faces Yusei Kikuchi of the Toronto Blue Jays.


Let's crunch some numbers here. In 12 career at-bats against Kikuchi, Mountcastle has been on a tear, racking up seven hits and four homers. That's a robust batting average of .583 and an OPS of .950 for the entire Orioles' lineup against Kikuchi. These statistics aren't just impressive; they're downright nightmarish for any pitcher.


But that's not all. Mountcastle's recent form offers more reasons to back the over 1.5 on his hits - runs and RBI prop. Over the last two weeks, the first baseman has been the Orioles' hottest hitter, leading the team in hits (15), home runs (4), and RBI (11). Over the last 20 games, he's averaged 1.65 hits - runs and RBI, and in the last 10 games, he's averaged 1.6. The trend is clear: Mountcastle is heating up at the perfect time.


Taking a closer look at his form against Toronto specifically, the numbers are even more compelling. In seven games against the Jays, Mountcastle is averaging 2.43 hits - runs and RBI. That's well above the line of 1.5 we're looking at.


Given these facts, it's hard not to see the potential for a big payout with the over on Mountcastle's hits - runs and RBI prop. It's important to remember that in betting, and in baseball, nothing is guaranteed. That said, the numbers suggest that this is a bet worth considering.


So, let's not sleep on Mountcastle's potential to outperform the line and deliver a big payout in the upcoming game against the Blue Jays. After all, if the numbers are any indication, he's ready to step up to the plate and knock it out of the park.


My Selection: Ryan Mountcastle Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-145)


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