Coming off a 6-1 ATS NFL week led by winning my 15* Top-25 AFC Titan DOG on Jacksonville who defeated these same Houston Texans 31-24. Winners included 10* Titan Blowout on the Giants who won 27-0 over TB; UNDER Sunday Night FB Colts/Cards as a 10* Total; Dallas as a 10* Titan Play; and UNDER Dallas and UNDER Falcons/Patriots as 5* Totals. The lone loser was a 5* Total UNDER Jets/Titans.

Now, the Houston Texans had very high expectations entering this season and so far they have vastly under performed. The Jaguars rushed 31 times for 184 yards led by Jones-Drew with 119 yards and 3 TD’s. QB Garrard was a solid 18 for 30 for 214 yards with no picks. The Texans had no answer in the Red Zone with the Jaguars going a perfect 3 for 3. Jaguars Sims-Walker had 10 catches for 81 yards and Gerrard spread the ball to 8 different receivers. Houston is in disarray and Oakland is not the same pushover of past years.

The Ai Simulator shows a 72% probability that Oakland will lose this game by 9 or fewer points and grades a 3* Live Major DOG. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 34-11 for 76% winners since 1983. Play on dogs or pick that are poor teams being outrushed by opponents by 40+ YPG facing a team who is outrushed by 60+ YPG. Here is a second system that has gone 48-20 ATS for 71% winners since 1983. Play on road dogs or pick outgained by opponent by 70 or more passing yards/game on the season and after gaining 4.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game.

In summary, Oakland has not gained more than 200 yards in their last 2 games, but now they are facing the worst defensive unit in the NFL. As pointed to above, the Texans are giving up 224 yards rushing per game. Oakland will be able to move the ball effectively in ball control drives taking time off of the clock and attaining the goal of shortening the game. Plus, the Raiders defense will be create confusion on in Matt Schaub’s reads and this will be leading to turnovers. Take Oakland.

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