VTD Home
   
   
Sign Up To Receive Complimentary Picks and Analysis Via Email Each and Every Day!
First Name:
Last Name:
E-mail:

MEMBERS LOG IN
E-Mail Address:
Password:

 • Capper Profiles
 • Articles
 • About Us
 • Recommended Links
 • Contact Us
 • Privacy Policy

 • Scores
 • Odds
 • Matchups




















Home / Articles / Rules of Betting Football

Rules of Betting Football

By: Mike Anthony     Date: Sep 11, 2009
Print Article    Send to a friend   

Like most sports gamblers, to me football season is indeed the most wonderful and exciting time of the year. There's just something about football that makes it so much more compelling to wager on than any of the other sports. Maybe it's the limited amount of games the teams play. Maybe it's because there are the consecutive days off in between the games that make Game Day extra special. Or maybe it's simply because football is a made-for-TV sport and the networks have taken notice, televising hundreds of games each weekend at all hours of the day and night.

Whatever the case, football is the undisputed king of the hill when it comes to betting on sports. So before you head out to the sportsbook this season, here are 10 things to keep in mind if you're going to be placing some of your hard-earned cash on the gridiron. While following these rules won't guarantee you riches, it may help you avoid running through your entire bankroll before Halloween.

10. Avoid betting bad teams This may seem elementary, but it's something to keep in mind when making your selections each week. While I'm not suggesting you should load up on the power teams every week and lay double-digits, I am simply pointing out that betting on bad teams on a regular basis will eventually come back to haunt you. Take the NFL, for example. If you go back and look at the teams that have the best won/loss records against the spread each year, you'll see that the majority of them are winning teams. In fact, of the 40 teams that have ranked in the Top-10 of the NFL Pointspread League during the last four years, only three of them had losing records straight up. And 30 of them won 10 or more games. It's even more pronounced in the colleges. So, the moral of the story here is that bad teams are bad teams, both with and without the pointspread factored in.

9. Trends are not always your friend I admit it. I love trends. They fascinate me and the wackier they are the better. (Did you know that going into this season the Oregon Ducks were 14-6 against the spread when playing on artificial turf and 12-5 ATS as a road underdog of three or less?) But one thing I've learned is that you can never overreact to a trend because usually there's a trend for the other team that's just as strong. Basically if you want to find a reason to bet any team this week, you can probably find a trend to support your bet. So take that overwhelming trend that your barber tells you about with a grain of salt. There's probably another one just as convincing for the other team. By the way, Oregon was a 3-point underdog playing on the artificial turf of Boise State on Thursday night in its season-opener and lost the game 19-8. So much for those two trends that had a combined success rate of 75% against the spread going into Thursday night.

8. Let-downs and look-aheads are for real Unlike any other sport, football teams get an entire week – sometimes more – to rest, heal and prepare for their next game. The result is that it's only natural for a team to let down a bit the week after a big game or look past an opponent if they have a big game on deck two weeks later. Be sure you factor this into your handicapping. Football is an emotional sport so beware of teams in spots where you may not see their best effort.

7. Play parlays sparingly Sure, parlays are fun and the payoffs are tempting, but if you're solely playing parlays – or other dangerous forms of them like "round robins" and "action reverses" – each week, you are destined for disaster. Think about it. If you all you play every Sunday this NFL season is a single three-team parlay, you could hit 67% percent of your selections (2-out-of-3 every week) for the entire season and not win one penny. That's simply not acceptable since most sports bettors strive to hit just a shade above the magic 53% mark in order to make some sort of profit. My advice? If you like parlays, play them sporadically and play them for half the amount you play your straight up games.

6. Don't be afraid to hedge your bets Now, when you do bet parlays, it's always a good strategy to try and stagger your games so they kick off at different times. That way, you can hedge your bets and lower the risk/reward. For instance, if you're going to play a two-team parlay on Sunday, try and use one early game and one late game. So let's say you bet a $100 two-team parlay to win $230 on the Dolphins +3 over the Browns in a early game and the Giants -7 over the Redskins in a late game. If the Dolphins cover, you should then go ahead and bet the Redskins +7 for $100 in the late games. That way the worst you are going to do at the end of the day is break even and the best you will do is win $130. I'll take those odds any day.

5. Have fun with prop bets, but don't get carried away The proliferation of proposition bets over the last 10 years has been enormous. It used to just be that the Super Bowl was the only game where you could bet on the player to score the first TD of the game or the total number of first downs. But nowadays, most sportsbooks offer prop bets on numerous games every week, or at least the high-profile ones. I'll be the first to admit it that these bets are a lot of fun. And if you do your homework you can actually find some value and make money with them. But prop bets are also very easy to get carried away with. If you're going to be watching a game and you want to bet it, but don't have a strong opinion on the side or total, go ahead and have some fun with a few prop bets. But don't go crazy. The losses can add up in a hurry.

4. Take bad beats in stride Poker players and sports bettors are a lot alike in that they always seem to remember (and talk about) their bad beats, but never mention when they get lucky. Look, bad beats are part of the game when it comes to gambling. How you respond to them will decide whether you're a winner or loser in the long run. So make a promise to yourself that when your field goal kicker slices a 31-yarder to the left or your QB throws a tipped-ball interception that costs you money, don't kick the dog or fire your remote control off the wall. Swallow it like a man (or woman) and don't chase your loss with an ill-advised "get-back" bet on the next game that kicks off. And while you're at it, make a mental note of all the times you are on the "right" side of those types of games. My bet is that it all evens out by the end of the season.

3. Less is more This is the basic rule in all forms of gambling. The longer you sit at that blackjack table, the more likely you are to lose. The more numbers you play on that Keno ticket, the more likely you are to lose. And the more games you bet per week or per day, the more likely you are to lose. Sometimes it's difficult to limit yourself to betting just two or three games on a Saturday when there are 70 or 80 matchups staring back down on you from the big wall at the sportsbook. But do your best to limit the amount of games you play and never – ever – make a significant wager on a game just because it's on TV or because it involves your alma mater or hometown team. Bet with your head, not your heart. It's a cliché but it's the God's honest truth.

2. Don't be afraid to play the contrarian role There's a reason why the house usually wins. It's because the majority of people lose when they gamble. So, if there's a team that everyone from your brother-in-law, to the guy in the next cubicle at work to the talking head on ESPN thinks is going to absolutely roll this weekend, do yourself a favor and think long and hard about going the other way. You've heard that line, "if it looks too good to be true, it usually is." That's never more true in sports betting. Don't be afraid to go against the grain this season.

1. Do your homework Get my plays here at VegasTopDogs.com from me the Documented Veteran Champ! This will save you from causing serious damage to your bankroll.
 


Click here to view all of Mike Anthony's premium picks.

Social Bookmarking
Add to: Digg Add to: Del.icio.us Add to: Reddit Add to: Simpy Add to: Furl Add to: Yahoo Add to: Spurl Add to: Google Add to: Blinklist Add to: Newsvine


Winning Streaks
- Doc Sports: NHL 15-2-2 (89% for +$1405)
- Chip Chirimbes: NBA 29-16 (65% for +$1139)
- Gregg Price: NHL 14-6-1 (70% for +$1085)
- John Fisher : NBA 13-5 (73% for +$1000)
- Joe D'Amico: NCAAB 21-11 (66% for +$937)
- Kyle Hunter: MLB 55-44-5 (56% for +$909)


Rob Vinciletti: Rob Is DESTROYING NBA Once AGAIN this season and is CASHING DAILY In NCAAB With his EXCLUSIVE CUTTING EDGE POWER SYSTEMS AND RPI ANGLES. CONSISTENCY in ALL Sports. JUMP ON WITH ONE OF THE NATIONS TOP CAPPERS. $$ RV
Craig Trapp: SWEEP on Sunday as we had huge winning day. Tonight we continue the roll with two 5* winners: MLB B-L-O-W-O-U-T winner & NBA Big Monday Winner (3-0 NBA Run). Get both and thank us later!
Scott Spreitzer: Another night another winner last night in the NBA with Boston. Scott enters Tuesday on a 6-1 NBA run since Friday. He's also 42-21, 67% with his last 63, and 60-31, 66% in the NBA since March 1st! NBA & NHL inside!
Doc Sports: Doc's Sports has you covered all summer long with daily baseball selections you cannot afford to miss. 10 NHL Playoff Game of the Year is a blowout winner on 5/21 and more coming over the next two weeks!
Rocketman Sports: Rocketman Sports is passing for Monday! 14 out of 15 overall winning years in my history! 60% last 4 years in CBB! 25-11 69% last 36 NHL! 69-48 last 117 overall!
John Ryan: Ryan has gone 7-1 ATS with his 25* Titans for 88% ATS winners Get his 25* NBA titan that is backed by a perfect 10-0 ATS game situation. If you want to bet big then this is your play!
Gregg Price: MLB is here and so are the NBA & NHL playoffs. Lets build our bankroll for NFL 2012, it will be here before you know it. 10* NBA BOMB Tuesday.
TJ Pemberton: 2 Pack of plays on the board tonight. Getting in on some MLB and NHL Action
Steve Merril: Steve Merril is RED~HOT! 8-1 (89%) All-Sports last 3 days and 17-6 (74%) All-Sports run last 7 days!
Frank Jordan: Frank Jordan has pick on the two NBA playoff game 5s. Oklahoma City hosts LA Lakers and Philadelphia in up in Boston. Who will win the all important game 5s? Be a winner!!
Kyle Hunter: The #1 Ranked MLB Handicapper in the World in 2012! 2-1 day on the bases Monday. Tuesday's card is a big one! Get ALL FIVE of my picks in the MLB All Access Pass today. It's the BEST VALUE on the board! Join in!
Jeff Hochman: I have over 25 top 25 rankings in the four major sports documented. Top-rated 10 unit gems are 77-43 L120, 94-52 L146, and 148-73 last 221 all sports combined. Started in 1998. Jump on board today!
Sean Higgs: Spring Fling $500... ALL SPORTS today through NOVEMBER 1st just $500... That is basically $25 bucks a week! Make a smart money-move like a Vegas wise-guy and get signed up today !!
Mike Handzelek : 4-1 Sun, 14-8 wk. & Mike has 3 more MLB's UP & READY for Mon. Remember it's early. We're after the marathon, not the sprint. Nickel player clients netted over $25,000/ L 3 yrs
Jorge Gonzalez: Jorge was in Big on the Lakers last night and will come back here with another bug play on a total! Jorge has been using the NBA Playoffs as an ATM Machine and has another easy withdrawal in today’s action!
John Fisher : TOP HC 2010 MLB BASEBALL ! TOP HC L30 DAYS!!!#2 with a bullet in MLB! Gave clients winners Tuesday with Orioles,Brewers, and Marlins. Plus gave clients Pacers outright MONEY WIN! Will be available to Public 5/15!
Jim Feist: Jim Feist is the recognized leader in the sports information and sports gaming industry. For more than 30 years his acclaim has become unparalleled, with numerous wins in prestigious handicapping contests
Joe D'Amico: No games today. But I have a HUGE GAME OF THE MONTH tomorrow. JD
Vernon Croy: *SELECTIVE PLAY EXPERT* Quality over Quantity! Vernon Croy is one of the Top Handicappers in the World and he has been handicapping professionally since 1999! Countless 10-0 Runs in All Sports!
Chip Chirimbes: Chip Chirimbes, is a Post Season Wizard with is now 19-5-1, L-25 NBA releases is off to a BIG start 17-6 74% NBA Playoff Megabucks Winners. Last year he closed 25-7 78%. Get today's 75ers/Celtics winner only $49!
Vick Chandler: Victor Chandler is ready to unload again as he looks to be #1 with NBA and MLB BASEBALL. Victor's Season Special package deals are here.. Check out the true Vegas insider Champion and his action today.
Ben Burns: Ben Burns has been on fire with his top 10* selections. If you're looking for a consistent winner, you owe it yourself to check out Ben Burns today! Get onboard a monthly deal today.
Jimmy Boyd: No. 1 Ranked Handicapper in 2012! Jimmy's NBA picks are an INSANE 55-30-1 (65%) since Mar. 4. Now, that's a run you can see in your bankroll!
Michael Black: Mr Black has put his College Hoops/NBA Season Pass at a LOWERED PRICE!!! Mike has gotten off to one of the HOTTEST starts of ANY CAPPER in the Nation!! #1 Overall for 2012, #1 in NBA, and #5 in College Basketball.
Mike Anthony: NATIONS TOP CAPPER OVERALL and on FIRE! - Mike has huge winners on tap for today and he is ready to score big in the NBA PLAYOFFS and BASEBALL action. Mike is hitting over 66% on his TOP PLAYS. Get onboard today
Michael Alexander: Michael has been WINNING BIG in the NBA and NHL playoffs making his $50 per unit players OVER $900 combined! After WINNING with his Playoff Combo yesterday Michael is back with yet another PROFITABLE Playoff card!
(TonyK) 3G-Sports: Monday NBA- NHL- and Baseball action ./ Ranked #1 in Net Profit the past 5 years by The National Sports Monitor. Gearing up for MLB BASEBALL ACTION.





©Copyright 2012 Vegas Top Dogs. All rights reserved. No portion of Vegas Top Dogs may be duplicated, redistributed or manipulated in any form.