My NFL is ON-FIRE. I am 5-1 my L6 overall. This week alone, I gave you winners on both the Giants on Monday and the Chargers on Thursday. This Sunday I continue my domination of the NFL. I have my AFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR in the JAX/IND matchup. I also have my NFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR in the PHI/NYG game. I added my 98% SYSTEM PLAY on the DAL/WAS game, ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE on the NYJ/PITT game, and my LATE BAILOUT on the GB/NE NBC game. This will be my most explosive NFL card this season. If you don’t follow me, you are costing yourself money.
Here is a breakdown of the NFL Sunday Card
Kansas City +1 @ St. Louis
With San Diego winning on Thursday, Kansas City is just 1 game ahead in the West. The Chiefs need this win. QB Matt Cassell has tallied 23 TDs and only 4 INTs and will be starting this game. KC is 3-0 ATS vs. AFC foes this season. They will take the NFLs top ranked rushing team (165.4 YPG) led by Jamaal Charles (1177 YR, 3 TDs) and pound the ball up the middle against a soft St. Louis defense that has given up an average of 25.4 PPG in their L5 contests. The Rams offense is posting a mere 18.8 PPG. I am siding with a Chiefs team that has turned the ball over a league-low 9 times. Take KC.
Houston +1 ½ @ Tennessee
This is a rematch from 3 weeks ago in which Houston blanked Tennessee 20-0. The Titans are riding a 6 game losing streak and HC Jeff Fisher is on the hot seat. QB Kerry Collins is 1-9 his L10 starts and WR Randy Moss is a non factor. I know Houston is ranked 30th in points allowed @ 27.3 PPG, but they have the superior offense. QB Matt Schaub has 20 TDs on 3481 YP. Tennesse won’t be able to do what no team has been able to do this year,that is to stop Arian Foster. Foster beat up Tennessee 3 weeks ago for 143 YR. There is no reason why he won’t do it again. Take Houston.
Jax @ Indy. This is my AFC Total of the Year. My totals are on fire. Don’t miss the biggest AFC Total winner yet.
Arizona @ Carolina
Only a poor Arizona road team can make Carolina a favorite. This matchup will most likely feature two rookie QBs in Jimmy Clausen and John Skelton. Both defenses rank amongst the worst in the league, with Arizona #29 and Carolina #26. If the Panthers play their cards right, the #1 draft choice is theirs. Picking the lesser of two evils always bothered me. I am passing on this one.
Cleveland +1 @ Cincinnati
Both teams come off of horrible efforts from a week ago. Cleveland plays their third straight road game, while Cincinnati is riding a franchise tying 10 game skid. I feel that the Browns are still a team on the upswing while Cincy is finding new ways to lose. Colt McCoy gets the nod. He will spark life into the Cleveland offense. The Browns are 15-3 ATS their L18 road games vs. teams with a losing home record. The Bengals are 5-21 ATS their L26 as a favorite. Take Cleveland.
Buffalo + 5 ½ @ Miami.
Miami is still very much alive in the playoff hunt. Bad news for Fins fans though. They are playing at home. Miami is a dismal 1-5 SU @ home this year and 5-14 ATS their L19 as host. On the bright side, they have solid RBs in Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams facing the NFLs worst run defense of Buffalo. However, the Dolphins are 31st in the league in scoring with 17.3 PPG. The Bills have lost 5 games by 5 points or less. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is more consistent than counterpart Chad Henne. Buffalo will take advantage of a Miami squad that is 1-21 ATS as a division favorite in the month of December. Buffalo covers.
Philadelphia @ New York
This is my NFC Total of the Year. I release so few totals, that when I do, they are money. This is my biggest NFC total all year.
Washington@Dallas
This is my NFL 98% System play. Over the L6 years, this situation has won 98% of the time. You can’t argue with perfection.
Detroit +6 @ Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay QB Josh Freeman has led five 4th quarter comebacks in a row. However, injuries and a big number tells me to favor the ‘dog here. The Bucs are just 2-11 ATS their L13 at home and possess the 27th ranked run defense in football. Detroits “D” is improving by the week while their offense has seen rookie RB Jahvid best start to get into a rhythym. The Lions tall receiving corps will outman the depleted secondary of the Bucs. Detroit has lost six games by 5 points or less and are 6-1 ATS their L7 vs. Tampa Bay. The Lions get the money.
New Orleans +1 @ Baltimore.
Baltimore has failed to cover 3 of their L4 at home. New Orleans handled a similar, physical Pittsburgh team to start their current 6 game win streak. Over their L5 games, the Saints have averaged 32.6 PPG. The offense is progressing because they now have a healthy backfield. Their experienced “D” is highly underrated. The Ravens come off of a MNF OT slugfest and had 1 less day to prepare. With Atlanta 1 game ahead in the South, I side with Drew Brees and the defending Super Bowl Champions. The play is on New Orleans.
Atlanta @ Seattle FREE WINNER. Check the Free Game area.
NY Jets @ Pittsburgh.
This is my ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE PLAY. They have hit at 66% on the season. The oddsmakers don’t make a ton of mistakes but when they do, we must MAKE THEM PAY.
Denver @ Oakland OVER 43
Denver comes into this game losing 4 in a row and 8 of their L9. But they have some revenge motivation here. The Broncos were saddled 59-14 by the Raiders back in November. Talk around the league is that Heisman winner Tim Tebow will see some action over center this game. The problem is the Denver “D” against the run. They rank 31st, allowing 150.3 YPG on the ground. They face the 3rd ranked rushing team in football, behind RB Darren McFadden. The Raiders have given up 33 plus points in 3 of their L4. I can’t lay the wood here but the OVER is a play.
Green Bay @ New England.
This is my world-famous LATE BAILOUT WINNER. If you haven’t made enough money today. This game will get you there.
Thank you and Good luck. Joe D
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