DIAMONDBACKS at BREWERS (Under 7 ½, -120) – 5:00 pm ET #987-988

Not an official play, but I would rate the Under as a light lean tonight.

We head back to Milwaukee for Game 5 of the NLDS series between the Diamondbacks and Brewers. It's a rematch of Game 1 when the Brewers won 4-1. Yovani Gallardo made the start and gave up 1 run and four hits in eight innings striking out eight while walking only one. With the win, he moved to 6-0 all-time against Arizona; he has allowed just 3 earned runs in his last three starts against them. Overall, the righty has struck out 36 batters in his last 28 1/3rd innings while sporting a 1.59 ERA over that span. He is 11-2 with a 2.87 ERA in 17 home starts with 10 of those games going Under the total. Miguel Montero (1-7), Gerardo Parra (1-6), Ryan Roberts (0-3) and Chris Young (2-13) all struggle with the Brewers’ ace. Arizona is hitting .239 on the road while putting up just 4 runs per game. The Brewers’ bullpen is 16-11 with a 2.74 ERA at home blowing just 9 saves in 41 chances.

Ian Kennedy has an outside chance at the N.L. Cy Young award going 21-5 with a 2.95 ERA and 19 Unders in 34 starts. Kennedy's start in Game 1 wasn't a horrible one as he allowed 4 runs and eight hits in just under seven innings. He made one other start against the Brewers this season allowing four hits and two walks in seven innings. Kennedy has allowed just 6 runs and 14 hits in his last three starts beating the Giants and Pirates in that span. Prince Fielder (2-8), Corey Hart (1-5), Casey McGehee (0-7) and Rickie Weeks (2-10) struggle with the Diamondbacks’ ace. Kennedy will be backed by a bullpen that is 8-10 with a 3.48 ERA and only 8 blown saves in 41 road chances. We expect this game to be tightly contested and a low- scoring affair.

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