When they first started the Las Vegas Hilton Superbook Contest back in the late 80's,(when Mike Lee was king)almost every sharp knew it was money in the bank when betting against the public. The only problem is the lines of today are set to beat the sharps, not the mushes. The overall solution is to first generate your own sharp lines and see how they measure up to the ones out of Vegas. It's essential to have a strong mathmatical background to succeed long-term. Sharp bettors know teams through dissection and applying statistics and probability to each to find the own true line. It pays to belong to a sports betting group where each member is assigned to a certain task in breakdowns. These groups will literally move the line at Don Best in Las Vegas as witnessed by a short period of black on their screens. That's a true indication that the sharps are moving the line. They set themselves in a different category as they constantly look for the right juice to unload upon certain games of great line value. It's also common for these same sharps to play small parlays and teasers. An underdog ML parlay have always been an integral part of a sharp's repertoire. When it comes to teasers, moving the favorite under 3 points and underdog over 7 points have become frequently cashed tickets of many sharps. On the other side of the coin, the mushes tend to over-compensate for a team's latest performance. That's why it is sometimes helpful to distinguish a mushes line move from a sharps and bet accordingly. Mushes also have the tendency to lay the wood on high power ranked favorites and play dogs who played well the week before without doing the math. With excellent computer betting programs, the sharps know they have a play when they find the mushes moved the line in their favor. That's when you see the Don Best screen go black. The offshore books of today usually witness the mushes moves more frequently than not. This separation is a big advantage for all sharp bettors who immediatley identify this as it happens. In order to win in the NFL for the past 3 seasons at 60% combined, I have flawlessly watched for this in a timely manner. For the average bettor to win on a consistent basis, you need to have your connection to a sharp who spends hours with this to achieve that 60% plus status. Any deviation from this plan could lead to a higher concentration of losing seasons where the vig plays a large part in killing bankrolls. In summary, your Herculean task is to apply these principles, do your homework watching games and get the feel for all intangibles before you handicap next week's action. If time does not permit you to do this, grab one of only a few cappers in the 60% club. By Mike Handzelek
 

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