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Home / Articles / Baseball Handicapping 101

Baseball Handicapping 101

By: Evan Altemus     Date: May 28, 2008
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Now that the baseball season has been going on for almost two months, let's discuss some baseball handicapping keys to help your bankroll. First and foremost, in order to have success betting baseball you must focus on trends. These trends include everything from winning/losing streaks, hot/cold pitchers, and hitting. However, these trends must be looked at deeper in order to find good betting opportunities. For example, Atlanta came into their game last night at Milwaukee winning 8 of their last 11 games. The Braves scored 53 runs in that 11 game stretch where all of those contests were played at home. Milwaukee came into last night's game losing 6 of their last 10 games. They gave up 5 runs or more in 6 of those 10 games also. Last night's game appeared like a perfect spot to bet the Braves as a slight favorite. They had their ace, Tim Hudson, getting the start. Meanwhile, Milwaukee had David Bush, who has been shaky all season, taking the mound for them. Bush had given up 4 runs or more in 6 out of his last 9 starts. Atlanta, despite many factors pointing toward them getting the win, ended up losing 3-2 to Milwaukee. The Brewers were able to get 2 runs off Hudson late in the game, then scored the game winner off of the Braves bullpen in the bottom of the 9th. What is the point to all of this? Don't blindly jump on streaks. Milwaukee, a very young squad, is a good home team, while a questionable road team. Atlanta has hit almost 40 points lower against righties on the road. In addition, they have been horrendous on the road, with a 6-17 record as a visitor this season. All of these factors completely negated the Braves hot streak and the Brewers slump. While Milwaukee would not have been a good play in that game, Atlanta was not a good selection either. Teams do not continue to win or lose, and they typically end their streaks/slumps upon returning home or going on the road. Bottomline, don't blindly bet streaks. Research them further to see if there is in fact a good opportunity.
 

  Evan Altemus

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