This should be one dandy of a game. I am 3-1 so far in the NFL Playoffs doc. by The Sports Monitor of OK. Don't miss the huge weekend of winners at www.VegasTopDogs.com from all the experts.


Arizona Cardinals (11-6) vs. New Orleans Saints (13-3)

ATS Records: Arizona (9-7-1) vs. New Orleans (8-8)

Saturday, Jan 16, 2010 at 4:37 PM TV: FOX

Current Line: Saints -7 O/U: 57


The Cardinals are flying high after last week's wild shoot-out in the NFL Wild Card round vs. the heavily bet Packers. Not my clients as we had the Cardinals. Maybe we got lucky in OT as Aaron Rogers just missed on a long pass that would have gone for six. The Saints must be licking their chops after watching Aaron Rogers torch Arizona's backfield for 422 yards and 4 TD's. Let's take a look at some stats, angles, systems, and trends that pertain to this contest. If you like the OVER in this game than don't miss the winning angle straight from my database that will knock your socks off.

Last Meeting

That would be on 8/7/08 when the Saints defeated Arizona 24-10 as 2.5-point dogs. You can throw that away as both teams have gone through major player personal turnover since than.

Hall of Fame Bound?

Kurt Warner has thrown for 4,137 yards with 32/14 TD/INT ratio, while completing 67% of his passes. His QB rating is 98.8 this season. Another great season from the former grocery store bag boy. He can read any NFL defense and still has a quick release.

Not far behind!

Drew Brees has thrown for 4,388 yards with a 34/11 TD/INT ratio, while completing 70% of his passes. His passer rating of 109.6 is out of sight! He can read any NFL defense and has a quick release as well. He is only 1-2 SU in his NFL Playoffs career.

Better Offense

The Saints average 404 yards while scoring 32 points per game. The Cards average 356 yards while scoring 25 points per game. The Saints average 7 more points per game which is exactly what the betting line and should be.

Better Defense

The Cardinals average 355 yards against while allowing 22 points per game. The Saints average 358 yards against while allowing 21 points per game. Looks pretty even to me.

Better Special Teams

The Saints rank #1 in overall Special Teams play in the NFC. A formula that calculates kicking, punting, field position, takeaways, giveaways, tackling, and technique. The Cardinals are ranked #4.

Better Coaching Staff

It's about as EVEN as you can get in my opinion.

Intangibles

Saints by playing at home in the second round.

Arizona very confident after last week's win.

Going OVER 57?

Both teams average at least 350 yards on offense and both teams allow at least 350 yards on defense. This has happened only 9 times since 1990 and the OVER is 8-1 in those ball games. I will tell you that the average O/U line in those nine games was 46.5 points. That's a good 10.5 points lower and makes me think the Odds-makers have done their homework. Always respect the Odds-Maker!

Top Trends

The Cardinals are 24-10 SU when playing on Turf since 2007.

The Cardinals are 7-1 SU and 6-0-1 ATS as underdogs this season.

Home playoff teams (Saints) coming off three consecutive losses are 3-0 SU and ATS.

Good Luck, Jeff H
 

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